Walia Special Edition on the Bale Mountains (2011) - Zoologische ...

Table 1. Financial forecast for 20 year REDD project lifespan including 10% discount rate on dollar value, 10% inflation for operational costs at the
minimum scenario whereby cost of forest conservation can be met and considering a 30% buffer cost at 15% avoided deforestation at $20 per ton
CO . Net profit revenue sharing was considered to be split equally between the 3 stakeholders.
2
Mitigation and Monitoring Project
Sales
Expenses
Total income to
15% AD @
Total
Total costs
BMNP
$20 per ton Transaction
Operational Profit before 66% revenue (trans+op Net BMNP (operational
Year CO2 costs Gross Profit Enforcement Monitoring Livelihood costs revenue share share cost +rev share) Profit costs +profit)
1 2,408,301 214,922 2,193,379 62,000 7000 7000 76,000 2,117,379 1,411,586 1,702,508 705,793 781,793
2 2,189,365 2,189,365 68,200 7,700 7,700 83,600 2,105,765 1,403,843 1,487,443 701,922 785,522
3 1,990,331 1,990,331 75,020 8,470 8,470 91,960 1,898,371 1,265,581 1,357,541 632,790 724,750
4 1,809,392 1,809,392 82,522 9,317 9,317 101,156 1,708,236 1,138,824 1,239,980 569,412 670,568
5 1,644,902 1,644,902 90,774 10,249 10,249 111,272 1,533,630 1,022,420 1,133,692 511,210 622,482
6 1,495,365 1,495,365 99,852 11,274 11,274 122,399 1,372,967 915,311 1,037,710 457,656 580,054
7 1,359,423 1,359,423 109,837 12,401 12,401 134,639 1,224,784 816,523 951,162 408,261 542,900
8 1,235,839 1,235,839 120,820 13,641 13,641 148,102 1,087,737 725,158 873,260 362,579 510,681
9 1,123,490 1,123,490 132,903 15,005 15,005 162,913 960,577 640,385 803,298 320,192 483,105
10 1,021,355 1,021,355 146,193 16,506 16,506 179,204 842,151 561,434 740,638 280,717 459,921
11 928,504 928,504 160,812 18,156 18,156 197,124 731,380 487,587 684,711 243,793 440,918
12 844,095 844,095 176,893 19,972 19,972 216,837 627,258 418,172 635,009 209,086 425,923
13 767,359 767,359 194,583 21,969 21,969 238,521 528,838 352,559 591,079 176,279 414,800
14 697,599 697,599 214,041 24,166 24,166 262,373 435,226 290,151 552,524 145,075 407,448
15 634,181 634,181 235,445 26,582 26,582 288,610 345,571 230,381 518,991 115,190 403,800
16 576,528 576,528 258,989 29,241 29,241 317,471 259,057 172,705 490,176 86,352 403,823
17 524,116 524,116 284,888 32,165 32,165 349,218 174,899 116,599 465,817 58,300 407,517
18 476,470 476,470 313,377 35,381 35,381 384,140 92,330 61,553 445,693 30,777 414,916
19 433,154 433,154 344,715 38,919 38,919 422,554 10,600 7,067 429,621 3,533 426,087
20 393,776 393,776 379,186 42,811 42,811 464,809 -71,033 -47,355 417,454 -23,678 441,132
Culmative total 4,352,900 17,985,724 11,990,483 16,558,305 5,995,241 10,348,141
<strong>Walia</strong>-<strong>Special</strong> <strong>Edition</strong> on the Bale Mountains 303