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Archie to SAM: A Short Operational History of Ground-Based Air ...

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BALLISTIC MISSILE DEFENSE<br />

April 1967, 17, 24; Halperin, The Decision <strong>to</strong> Deploy, 63; and Walker, Martin,<br />

and Watkins, Strategic Defense, 26. See also “The ABM Debate,” 129–31, for<br />

example.<br />

30. McNamara’s predecessor, Thomas Gates, was also against deployment<br />

because he believed the public would not support the required shelter<br />

program. See Jayne, “The ABM Debate,” 90; and Howard S<strong>to</strong>ffer, “Congressional<br />

Defense Policy-Making and the Arms Control Community: The Case<br />

<strong>of</strong> the Antiballistic Missile” (PhD diss., Columbia University, 1980), 117.<br />

McNamara’s position on the limits <strong>of</strong> the ABM system remained constant.<br />

The Kennedy administration had pushed through a shelter request in August<br />

1961 but had difficulties with follow-up programs the next year. One DOD<br />

study in the early 1960s concluded that shelters could save a life for $20<br />

versus $700 per person for the Nike-X. See Briggs, The Shield <strong>of</strong> Faith, 252;<br />

and Jayne, “The ABM Debate,” 182, 230.<br />

31. The arguments for and against the ABM during this period are most<br />

clearly set out in Halperin, The Decision <strong>to</strong> Deploy, 79–81. See also Baucom,<br />

Origins <strong>of</strong> SDI, 23; Betts interview, 4; Stryker, “A Bureaucratic Politics Examination,”<br />

104; Briggs, The Shield <strong>of</strong> Faith, 285; and Walker, Martin, and<br />

Watkins, Strategic Defense, 29–30.<br />

32. Betts interview, 8; Halperin, The Decision <strong>to</strong> Deploy, 78, 83; Jayne,<br />

“The ABM Debate,” 309, 359; Stryker, “A Bureaucratic Politics Examination,”<br />

171, 181–82, 208, 227; and Senate Committee on Foreign Affairs, “Staff<br />

Memorandum on Current Status <strong>of</strong> the Antiballistic Missile (ABM) Program,”<br />

90th Cong., 1st sess., March 1967, 2.<br />

33. Baucom, Origins <strong>of</strong> SDI, 33, 34; Halperin, The Decision <strong>to</strong> Deploy,<br />

84–86; and Jayne, “The ABM Debate,” 360.<br />

34. Baucom, Origins <strong>of</strong> SDI, 34; and Jayne, “The ABM Debate,” 372.<br />

35. Casualty estimates for a small Chinese attack against the United States<br />

were about 6 <strong>to</strong> 12 million without defenses, 3 <strong>to</strong> 6 million with terminal defenses,<br />

and zero <strong>to</strong> 2 million with terminal and area defenses. See Jayne,<br />

“The ABM Debate,” 302; and Halperin, The Decision <strong>to</strong> Deploy, 89n.<br />

36. Baucom, Origins <strong>of</strong> SDI, 35–37; Briggs, The Shield <strong>of</strong> Faith, 286, 327;<br />

Jayne, “The ABM Debate,” 249n38, 374n2; and Walker, Martin, and Watkins,<br />

Strategic Defense, 33.<br />

37. James Bowman, “The 1969 ABM Debate” (PhD diss., University <strong>of</strong><br />

Nebraska, 1973), 127–32, 170; McMahon, Pursuit <strong>of</strong> the Shield, 45, 47; S<strong>to</strong>ffer,<br />

“Congressional Defense Policy Making,” 149; Walker, Martin, and Watkins,<br />

Strategic Defense, 33.<br />

38. Jayne, “The ABM Debate,” 413–14; Thomas Longstreth and John<br />

Pike, A Report on the Impact <strong>of</strong> US and Soviet Ballistic Missile Defense Programs<br />

on the ABM Treaty (n.p.: National Campaign <strong>to</strong> Save the ABM Treaty,<br />

1984), 4; and McMahon, Pursuit <strong>of</strong> the Shield, 45.<br />

39. Baucom, Origins <strong>of</strong> SDI, 38; Bowman, “The 1969 ABM Debate,” 178;<br />

Briggs, The Shield <strong>of</strong> Faith, 299; Erik Pratt, “Weapons Sponsorship: Promoting<br />

Strategic Defense in the Nuclear Era” (PhD diss., University <strong>of</strong> California,<br />

211

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