Back-up not in agenda book - Seminole County Schools

EDUCATIONAL PLANT FIVE YEAR SURVEY REPORTDistrict:59-SEMINOLE COUNTY SCHOOL DISTRICTSurvey:Survey: 3 - Version: 1Status:Active PendingANALYSIS OF STUDENT POPULATIONSTechnique for Predicting COFTE Student Membership TrendsThe projection of future student population change is based on empirical evidence of historical trends in the studentpopulation; annually, the Office of Economic and Demographic Research (EDR) prepares COFTE enrollmentprojections. The projections do not include summer school, regular pre-kindergarten, hospital/homebound, or areavocational school adults attending basic and high school classes. The projections are most accurate in countieswhere growth and migration occur at a reasonably constant and predictable rate and, conversely, are least accurate ifmajor changes in the economy and development of the county occur during the projection period.Even though the out-year COFTE projections used for a 5-year survey period may be less (or more) than the districtanticipates, the annual recalculation of COFTE projections assures that current, accurate data can be inserted into anew survey to guarantee that the most reliable projections are used for facilities planning purposes.PAGE:386 of 401Report Date: 5/12/2011 3:38:08 PMPage 473