Volume 1 - Iraq Watch

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Regime Strategy and WMD Timeline Events (continued)338Bush calls Iraq ‘Grave and gathering danger’ in UN General AssemblyPOL 12-Sep-02(UNGA) speech339 POL 16-Sep-02 Iraq agrees to readmit inspectors340 POL 18-Sep-02 Publication of UK Iraq WMD dossier341POL Nov 2002MIC scientists meet and are told that Iraq has no WMD, and they must not hideanything from inspectors342Jinin and other covert delivery system programs suspended due to return ofDS Nov 2002inspectors343 POL 08-Nov-02 UNSCR 1441 finds Iraq in material breach, calls for disarmament and FFCD344 POL 08-Nov-02 Russia refuses to veto UNSCR 1441345 POL 27-Nov-02 UNMOVIC inspections begin346 POL Dec 2002 Saddam tells his Generals he does not have WMD347348POL Dec 2002POL/DS Dec 2002349 OTHER/Dec 2002NUC350POL End of 2002Saddam tells military leaders/senior leaders to “cooperate completely” withinspectorsUNMOVIC freezes the Al Samud II and Al Fat’h flight tests upon furtheranalysis of system’s range capbilityDetails of IAEC dual-use CNC machine purchases provided to UN/IAEAIraq successfully flight tests 81mm rockets with indigenously producedaluminum tubes351 POL Late 2002 Iraq again attempts foreign purchase of 81mm tubes352 POL Dec 2002 NMD publishes the Currently Accurate Full, and Complete Declaration353Two teams from IAEC and Al Majid Company develop multipurposeCW Jan 2003controllers for process plant354 PROC Jan 2003 MIC annual budget at $500M355 POL Jan-2003 UNMOVIC finds 12 empty 122mm CW rocket warheads356 POL Jan 2003 Iraqi MoD conference on Iranian WMD357Husam Amin tells military leaders to cooperate with inspectors, repeatingPOL 20-Jan-03Saddam’s earlier directives358The MIC directs all Directors General of state companies to relinquish anyPOL 20-Jan-03WMD to the NMD359The NMD director meets with Republican Guard (RG) leaders and advisesPOL 25-Jan-03they sign documents stating no WMD in RG units360Inspection of Al Nu’man factory reveals cluster bomb that managementCW Feb 2003claimed from Al Muthanna361According to senior Iraqi Minister of Foreign Affairs, Saddam has decided toPOL Feb 2003use CW against US troops in the event of war362 CW Feb-2003 Iraq recommends excavating R-400 bomb fragments at Al ‘Aziziyah363February DG of NMD still trying to satisfy IAEA concern over missing explosive lensNUC2003 mold drawings364 POL 05-Feb-03 US SecState Powell presents evidence of Iraqi WMD programs to UNSCRegime Strategy and WMD Timeline Events13
Regime Strategy and WMD Timeline Events (continued)365Saddam issues directive banning private companies and individuals fromPOL 14-Feb-03importing WMD materials or producing WMD366 POL 28-Feb-03 Russia threatens veto of UNSCR authorizing war on Iraq367New construction scheduled for MIM plant to provide indigenousCW March 2003multi-purpose production facility, halted due to OIF368 PROC Mar 2003 MIC has $186M in contracts with Syria (SES Company)369DS1-17 Mar2003UNMOVIC bans Samud II and supervises destruction of missiles370Regime procurement with Belarus, Bulgaria, France, India, Jordan, PRC,PROC Early 2003Russia, Syria, and Ukraine leads to further sanctions erosion371 PROC 01-Mar-03 MIC has accumulated $300M+ in reserves372PROCEarly MarchSaddam forms a funds distribution committee consisting of Minister ofFinance, President of the Diwan, Presidential Secretary, and Qusay Husayn373 POL 06-Mar-03 UNMOVIC publishes report - Unresolved Disarmament Issues (Clusters)374 POL 10-Mar-03 France threatens veto of UN resolution authorizing war; later opposes OIF375 POL 18-Mar-03 UNMOVIC and IAEA depart Iraq376 POL 19-Mar-03 Initiation of hostilities377Late MarchPOL2003Saddam implies to military leaders that he has secret weapon14
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Comprehensive Reportof the Special
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versus another. They deserve at lea
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In Saddam’s view, Iraq was the na
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UNSCOM gave a sufficiently positive
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The Regime, drawing on the experien
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December 1998. The United States an
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The new Iraq could benefit from the
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and the Baath party. This is a volu
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have been important, though they ha
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Regime StrategicIntentRegime Strate
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ContentsKey Findings...............
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AnnexesA. The Quartet—Influence a
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Key FindingsSaddam Husayn so domina
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Former Iraqi Regime Officials Varie
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Who Made Iraq’s StrategicDecision
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• Tariq ‘Aziz described the req
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• Instead, voluminous files were
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secure Saddam’s support for odd o
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Saddam’s Use of Execution—Manag
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solely for civilian use when the re
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directly and continuously to him. H
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How Saddam Saw HisSubordinatesMinin
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Saddam’s PsychologyHow Saddam Saw
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to consist of was hazy. His drive t
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Iraq’s Use of CW in 1991 Against
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Excerpts from a Closed-Door Meeting
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maker asserted that either country
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Israel“There can never be stabili
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Saddam’s handling of Iraq’s res
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this to the international community
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Regime StrategicIntentNote: Red cel
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Iraq’s Relationship With RussiaTh
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Realizing Saddam’s VeiledWMD Inte
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Selected UN Security Council Resolu
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Husayn KamilBorn in 1955 within the
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ibility with UNSCOM. Iraqi demands
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and the International Atomic Energy
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The Saga of the “Chicken Farm”
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Security Services (continued)The Sp
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VX Warhead Samples & The Iraqi Air
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success—reduced or suspended oil
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Preserving and Restoring WMD Infras
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• The Regime also sought diplomat
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Renewing UN InspectionsIraq allowed
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never part of the military plan cra
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• Former Minister of Defense Sult
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Annex AThe Quartet—Influence and
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Perceptions of Threat and Challenge
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OverviewAnnex BIraq’s Intelligenc
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Regime StrategicIntentThe Scientifi
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M6, Directorate of Internal Securit
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Structure of M14• Special Operati
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M18, Directorate of ResidencyM18 is
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Structure of M40• M40/1 Monitors
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OverviewAnnex CIraq’s Security Se
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The Special SecurityOrganizationSad
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Regime StrategicIntentThe Special S
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Structure of the SSO Security Branc
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The Republican GuardThe Republican
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The Republican Guard Forces Command
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Annex DSaddam’s Personal Involvem
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[Translator Comment: they are in go
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Regime Financeand ProcurementRegime
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ContentsA Word on the Scope of This
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MIC Banking and Financing .........
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A Word on the Scope of This Chapter
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Key FindingsThroughout the 1990s an
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ents. He made all modifications to
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Chapter SummaryThe Illicit Finance
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The Regime TimelineDecline (1991-96
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OverviewDirecting and Budgeting Ira
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Regime Financeand ProcurementFigure
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Iraq’s National Budget 1991-2002A
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OverviewFinancing Iraq’s IllicitP
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including abolishing universal empl
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Behind the scenes, the Iraqi govern
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for what they imported in 1992, pro
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Figure 10. Iraq’s estimated earni
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stated that he believed the Russian
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documents. Ten other Iraqi embassie
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were made to at least two Iraqi fro
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Figure 21. Iraq’s estimated earni
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SOMO Account Balances Outside of Ir
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with an *) shows the total proceeds
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seas accounts in Lebanon and Jordan
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and the overseas banks forwarded ac
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assets in employee-named accounts.
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OverviewExecuting Illicit Procureme
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necessary to accommodate the large
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offices, there was only a single em
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MoD’s Procurement Leadership at t
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Although other Iraqi ministries wer
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From 2000 onwards, the RG’s annua
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The information provided by these t
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its real activity, which was coordi
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• In May 2002, ARMOS was offered
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officer suggested Neptune would be
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• A foreign intelligence service
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MIC Research Support at Universitie
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Figure 51. Sattam HamidFarhan Al-Ga
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Supplying Iraq With ProhibitedCommo
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UNSCOM’s Operation Tea Cup (1995
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• The technology included guidanc
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Embassy to Jordan in Amman. The fir
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Regime Financeand ProcurementThis i
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Since 1991, Iraqi-Turkish trade rev
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cash through private sector trade o
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Chinese Assistance in Iraqi Telecom
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October 2001, Syrian technicians we
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• Yugoslav Federal also supplied
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jammers, night-vision devices, and
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• According to captured documents
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Transportation Routes From North Ko
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Materials, Equipment and Services P
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conflict, President Lukashenko inst
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Many transactions for prohibited go
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Importing ProhibitedCommoditiesDece
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International Commodity Deception:T
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Disguising the Commodity’s Destin
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months to reach Baghdad from Bulgar
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Figure 68. Primary oil smuggling ro
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Annex ATranslations of Iraq’s Bil
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An ISG Translation of the 2003 Iraq
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Benzene for automobiles:If there is
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Secondly: oil derivativesThe Iraqi
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Fifteenth:Based on the Jordanian re
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Figure 1. The Iraq-SyriaTrade Proto
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Figure 2. Iraq-Syria TradeProtocol
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Figure 3. The Iraq-TurkeyTrade Prot
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Annex BKnown Oil Voucher Recipients
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Oil Allocation RecipientList (conti
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Key Budgetary ActorsAnnex CIraq’s
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decision and issued a presidential
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• The NSC Auditing Division sent
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Annex DIraq Economic Data (1989-200
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Figure 8. Sectoralcomposition of Ir
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Figure 10. Iraq’s Paris Clubcredi
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Balance of Payments/Exchange RatesE
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Figure 16. Exchange rateID/USD.Regi
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Annex EIllicit Earnings Sources and
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account for half a year each, were
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Annex FIraqi Oil SmugglingCaptured
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ISG Translation of an Oil Sale Cont
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truck to the Turkish border. Althou
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Figure 22. Contractbetween the Nati
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Figure 22. Contractbetween the Nati
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Figure 24. Letter from A.J.Khazamip
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Figure 25 . Second letterfrom A.J.
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Figure 27. Contract forpetroleum pr
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Figure 27. Contract forpetroleum pr
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Figure 29. Contractbetween al Basha
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Figure 29. Contractbetween al Basha
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Figure 31. Telex from aFrench bank
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Figure 32. Unipack ofParis contract
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Figure 33. Telex from VitolGeneva t
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Figure 35. Letter dated 30December
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Annex GIraq’s Banking Systemdid n
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Figure 37. Department,department di
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anks for some transactions in the b
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Annex HUN Security Council Resoluti
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• UNSCR 1175 also noted that the
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Annex ISuspected WMD-Related Dual-U
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Page 404 and 405: Possible Breaches of UN Sanctions b
Page 406 and 407: Letters Dealing With a Planned Visi
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Page 426 and 427: Annex KSuspected Intermediary andFr
Page 428 and 429: Atera ManufacturingDaei Internation
Page 430 and 431: Annex LProcurement AcronymsAcronymA
Page 432 and 433: IAFIraqi Armed ForcesIDIraqi DinarI
Page 434: TPICTTCUAEUAVUDMHUHFUNUNCCUNDPUNESC
Page 437 and 438: Regime Strategy and WMD Timeline Ev
Page 447: Regime Strategy and WMD Timeline Ev
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Volume 1 - Iraq Watch

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