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FY2017 PROPOSED BUDGET

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Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority<br />

Proposed Fiscal Year 2017 Budget<br />

Chapter 1<br />

Demographics<br />

Based on the 2010 Census, the population of the Compact jurisdictions currently served by Metro<br />

totals 3.9 million people across four counties (Montgomery and Prince George’s in Maryland,<br />

Fairfax and Arlington in Virginia), three independent cities (Alexandria, Falls Church, and Fairfax<br />

in Virginia), and one federal district. This constitutes the core of the Washington Metropolitan<br />

area, the ninth largest metropolitan area of the country.<br />

Based on the 2011 American Community Survey (ACS), the demographic profile of the<br />

Washington Metropolitan area is as follows:<br />

• 48.2 percent of the population is non-Hispanic white<br />

• 25.3 percent is black or African American<br />

• 14.1 percent is Hispanic or Latino<br />

• 9.3 percent is Asian<br />

• 3.1 percent is Mixed-Other<br />

Economy<br />

Located in the nation’s capital, Metro’s operations are directly influenced by the economic<br />

conditions of the District of Columbia (DC) and the surrounding jurisdictions of Maryland and<br />

Virginia, and overall trends in the Authority’s transit ridership are correlated with population and<br />

employment growth in DC and the region. Over the past two to three years, the region’s economy<br />

has underperformed most other metro areas in the country as a result of the fiscal drag from<br />

reduced federal government spending and employment, including the impacts of sequestration,<br />

drawdown of overseas military engagements, and the retirement of older federal employees. The<br />

current economic underperformance is impacting not just transit ridership, but office and<br />

commercial vacancy rates, local jurisdictional tax revenues, and overall incomes in the region.<br />

Strengths and weaknesses: The long-term outlook for population growth in both DC and the<br />

region as a whole remains positive, particularly as revitalized downtown neighborhoods continue<br />

to draw young professionals. The region boasts a highly educated workforce that commands<br />

above-average salaries, and employment continues to grow in non-government sectors such as<br />

technology, healthcare, and education as the region becomes a hub for the east coast of the United<br />

States. DC also benefits from a steady supply of tourists to the nation’s capital, as well as<br />

convention and business visitors. Residential construction has moderated after several years of<br />

rapid growth, particularly in the multifamily segment, but the real estate market overall remains<br />

strong. The region’s weaknesses include relatively high business and regulatory costs as well as<br />

income inequality and a high cost of living, but the greatest risk currently facing the region is the<br />

reliance on the federal government.<br />

Reliance on federal government: The economies of the District of Columbia and the Washington<br />

region remain heavily dependent on federal government spending. Although the region performed<br />

well in the years immediately after the 2007-09 financial crisis and recession, since 2012 the<br />

region’s economic picture has clouded as a result of sequestration and repeated federal budget<br />

I-10

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