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POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY TN

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influence of increased income inequality is relatively larger, but the influence of growth is<br />

predominant.<br />

Table 2.9 shows that inequality in urban incomes is much higher than that in<br />

rural incomes. To update the official poverty line used by the Planning Commission, the<br />

Consumer Price Index for Africultural Laborers (CPI-AL) and the Consumer Price Index<br />

for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) are reweighted using national level consumption patterns<br />

of people around the poverty line in 1973-74. The basic price data are the same as for<br />

CPI-AL and CPI-IW, but the commodity level prices are weighted using the more recent<br />

and more poverty relevant weights.<br />

States<br />

Table 2.9: Growth and the Head Count Ratio: 1993-94 to 1999-00<br />

HCR50<br />

Derivative<br />

with Respect<br />

to Growth<br />

Six Years<br />

Growth<br />

Change in<br />

HCR55<br />

Inequality<br />

Fixed<br />

Change in<br />

HCR55<br />

Actual<br />

Rural<br />

Andhra Pradesh 29.2 -0.9 2.8 -2.5 -3<br />

Karnataka 37.9 -0.91 9.5 -9 -7.2<br />

Kerala 19.5 -0.62 19.6 -10.3 -9.5<br />

Tamil Nadu 38.5 -0.9 15.7 -13.3 -14.1<br />

All India 33 -0.88 8.7 -6.8 -6.7<br />

Urban<br />

Andhra Pradesh 17.8 -0.62 18.5 -9 -6.9<br />

Karnataka 21.4 -0.6 26.5 -12.9 -10.6<br />

Kerala 13.9 -0.46 18.2 -7.1 -4.2<br />

Tamil Nadu 20.8 -0.66 25.1 -12.9 -9.6<br />

All India 17.8 -0.56 16.6 -7.4 -5.9<br />

Source: Deaton and Dreze (2002).<br />

HCR50 and HCR55 - Head Count Ratio from 50 th Round and 55 th round,<br />

respectively.<br />

Bhalla (2002) uses the concept of ‘Shape of Distribution Elasticity’ (SDE), which<br />

indicates proportionate change in the HCR, following a one percent change in growth,<br />

assuming that there is no change in the distribution. He defines:<br />

dP = (g + i)* SDE<br />

where dP is the change in the head count ratio, g is the growth in average per capita<br />

consumption and i is the change in the share of consumption of the poor on or near the<br />

poverty line. Bhalla (2003) argues that the kind of elasticities estimated by Ravallion and<br />

40

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