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Carmen Bunzl - Universidad Pontificia Comillas

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Chapter 3. Implications of future climate regime architectures 130<br />

Common but Differentiated Convergence (Section 2.1.2.3), Multistage (2.1.2.1),<br />

Tryptich (2.1.2.4), and a sectoral approach (2.2); however, they are briefly<br />

presented in Section 3.1.<br />

Section 4 analyses the abatement costs of some post-Kyoto regimes for<br />

differentiating commitments: the Multistage approach, the Brazilian Proposal<br />

approach and Contraction and Convergence (den Elzen et al., 2005).<br />

1.2 Overview of literature<br />

Several studies have analyzed the broad range of possible future<br />

commitment regimes (see Aldy, 2003; Criqui et al. 2003; Höhne et al., 2003;<br />

Bodansky, 2004; Blok et al., 2005; den Elzen et al., 2005; Höhne, 2006; Gupta et<br />

al., 2007; den Elzen et al., 2007; Höhne et al., 2007; Kameyama, 2007); which<br />

have already been analyzed in the previous chapter.<br />

Some of these studies have quantitatively compared the regional emission<br />

allowances for various approaches (den Elzen et al., 2003; Criqui et al., 2003;<br />

den Elzen et al., 2005; Höhne et al., 2005; Höhne, 2006; Höhne et al., 2007).<br />

The most comprehensive reviews include those of den Elzen et al. (2005) and<br />

Höhne et al. (2007) (see Table below). Berk and den Elzen – for RIVM -<br />

pioneered the detailed analysis of emission allowances with the Framework to<br />

Assess International Regimes for the differentiation of commitments (FAIR)<br />

model (Berk and den Elzen, 2001; den Elzen and Lucas, 2003), but on a regional<br />

level. Höhne et al. (2007) – for Ecofys – provides emission allowances of various<br />

approaches with the Evolution of Commitments model (EVOC) on a country<br />

level.<br />

In Höhne et al. (2007), three levels of ambition - 450, 550 and 650 ppmv<br />

CO2eq. - are explored for 2020 and 2050. Emission allowances - before trading -<br />

are calculated, and the differences between six future climate regime<br />

approaches assessed: Contraction and Convergence, Common but<br />

Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería ICAI <strong>Carmen</strong> <strong>Bunzl</strong> Boulet Junio 2008

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