Carmen Bunzl - Universidad Pontificia Comillas

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Chapter 3. Implications of future climate regime architectures 130 Common but Differentiated Convergence (Section 2.1.2.3), Multistage (2.1.2.1), Tryptich (2.1.2.4), and a sectoral approach (2.2); however, they are briefly presented in Section 3.1. Section 4 analyses the abatement costs of some post-Kyoto regimes for differentiating commitments: the Multistage approach, the Brazilian Proposal approach and Contraction and Convergence (den Elzen et al., 2005). 1.2 Overview of literature Several studies have analyzed the broad range of possible future commitment regimes (see Aldy, 2003; Criqui et al. 2003; Höhne et al., 2003; Bodansky, 2004; Blok et al., 2005; den Elzen et al., 2005; Höhne, 2006; Gupta et al., 2007; den Elzen et al., 2007; Höhne et al., 2007; Kameyama, 2007); which have already been analyzed in the previous chapter. Some of these studies have quantitatively compared the regional emission allowances for various approaches (den Elzen et al., 2003; Criqui et al., 2003; den Elzen et al., 2005; Höhne et al., 2005; Höhne, 2006; Höhne et al., 2007). The most comprehensive reviews include those of den Elzen et al. (2005) and Höhne et al. (2007) (see Table below). Berk and den Elzen – for RIVM - pioneered the detailed analysis of emission allowances with the Framework to Assess International Regimes for the differentiation of commitments (FAIR) model (Berk and den Elzen, 2001; den Elzen and Lucas, 2003), but on a regional level. Höhne et al. (2007) – for Ecofys – provides emission allowances of various approaches with the Evolution of Commitments model (EVOC) on a country level. In Höhne et al. (2007), three levels of ambition - 450, 550 and 650 ppmv CO2eq. - are explored for 2020 and 2050. Emission allowances - before trading - are calculated, and the differences between six future climate regime approaches assessed: Contraction and Convergence, Common but Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería ICAI Carmen Bunzl Boulet Junio 2008
Chapter 3. Implications of future climate regime architectures 131 Differentiated Convergence, Multistage, Tryptich, a sectoral approach and intensity targets. Some studies have gone one step further and have, based on emission allocations, calculated emission reduction costs and possible trades of emission allowances at a regional level, for different post-Kyoto regimes (Criqui et al., 2003; den Elzen et al., 2005). Den Elzen et al. (2005) analyze the abatement costs of three post-Kyoto regimes for differentiating commitments: the Multistage approach, the Brazilian Proposal, and Contraction and Convergence. Their analysis was based on a stabilization of GHG concentrations at 550 ppmv CO2eq; as part of the uncertainty analysis they also tested the alternative target of 650 ppmv CO2eq. Table 3 - 1. Overview of literature regarding regional implications for future climate change regimes Article Group Model Analysis Höhne et al., 2007 Den Elzen et al., 2005 Ecofys EVOC RIVM 7.0 FAIR 2.0 (+ MAC curves) basis Country level Regional level Stabilization concentration levels (ppmv CO2eq) 450 550 650 550 650 Calculates emission allowances Calculates abatement Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería ICAI Carmen Bunzl Boulet Junio 2008 costs Yes No Yes Yes Analysis years 2020 2050 2025 2050 Approaches compared C&C 2050 CDC Multistage Tryptich Sectoral Intensity C&C 2050 C&C 2100 Multistage Brazilian For the purpose of Section 3, the results obtained with the EVOC tool and presented in Höhne et al. (2007) were chosen. The main objective here is to Model also used in CCAP BASIC Project OECD (2008)
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Summary ii Summary The objective of
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Summary iv The recent rise of secto
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Resumen vi compromisos para los pa
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Index viii Index CHAPTER 1. INTRODU
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Index xii 2.3.9 Overview of sectora
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1 Introduction
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Chapter 5. Conclusions 225 1 Introd
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Chapter 5. Conclusions 229 3.1 Emis
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Chapter 5. Conclusions 251 Adaptati
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References 253 References Abanades,
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References 255 IPCC, 2007. Climate
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References 257 Persson, T.A., C. Az
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Carmen Bunzl - Universidad Pontificia Comillas

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