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Carmen Bunzl - Universidad Pontificia Comillas

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Chapter 5. Conclusions 240<br />

reductions are not treated with urgency, as they may prefer approaches that<br />

prepare them to act later, e.g. technology development.<br />

Some other country groups, such as the EU, emphasize the environmental<br />

aspect of the problem, so that keeping global emissions low has the highest<br />

priority. Urgency to act is stressed by these countries. They want certainty on<br />

low global emission levels, they may not accept an agreement that would<br />

minimize the costs but it is unclear whether the long-term objective of the<br />

Convention can be met. They would prefer to work towards defining a joint<br />

long-term goal.<br />

Nevertheless, there is broad consensus that the next agreement must<br />

stimulate substantial, cost-effective emissions abatement. Lower costs of<br />

implementation can facilitate greater participation and compliance with climate<br />

goals. In a world with scarce resources, the most cost-effective the means are,<br />

the more feasible an ambitious goal is.<br />

Stringency in setting emission reduction obligations is relevant to ensure that<br />

market carbon prices remain sufficiently high to drive mitigation action. The<br />

high potential for offsets could result in carbon prices being too low to bring<br />

about sufficient mitigation. Even though carbon markets are regarded as being<br />

environmentally effective, their outcome would largely depend on the level and<br />

stability of the price set for carbon. At the moment, governments do not have<br />

the sufficient power or recognition to be able to fix a sufficiently high carbon<br />

price for emission reductions to happen – there will be no significant<br />

technological change or the needed changes in consumer’s behavior. The<br />

climate change problem is urgent, action ‘was needed yesterday’; command<br />

and control measures may be more effective as a first step in combating climate<br />

change – e.g. changing all light-bulbs for efficient ones. Although carbon price<br />

based measures are theoretically or apparently environmentally effective, at the moment<br />

they cannot be implemented in such a stringent manner that would lead to the<br />

necessary emissions stabilization level.<br />

Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería ICAI <strong>Carmen</strong> <strong>Bunzl</strong> Boulet Junio 2008

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