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Carmen Bunzl - Universidad Pontificia Comillas

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Chapter 2. Options for future climate change architectures 56<br />

EU + In favour of a staged approach<br />

Strengths and Weaknesses<br />

It seems likely that any future regime will be staged in form; countries are<br />

very diverse and this form of agreement would take into account national<br />

circumstances, in line with the UNFCCC spirit. It is a general framework that<br />

can accommodate many ideas and satisfy many demands. A staged approach<br />

allows for gradual decision making, and is trust-building as industrialized<br />

countries take the lead. It is compatible with Kyoto Protocol, its reporting needs<br />

and mechanisms.<br />

On the other hand, the concept is relatively complex, as it requires many<br />

decisions and allows for exceptions. The critical element of the approach is that<br />

additional countries participate early enough; there is a risk that countries enter<br />

too late so that some long-term stabilization options are lost. Incentives for such<br />

participation (not just thresholds for participation) have to be included in the<br />

system.<br />

2.1.2.2 Contraction and Convergence (C&C)<br />

Description<br />

Contraction and Convergence (C&C) was proposed by the Global Commons<br />

Institute (GCI, 2005). All countries participate in this regime (element 1) with<br />

quantified emission targets (element 3).<br />

The emission allowances are shared as follows (element 2):<br />

• Contraction: As a first step, a global emission path is agreed for each<br />

future year that leads to an agreed long term stabilization level for<br />

greenhouse gas concentrations.<br />

Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería ICAI <strong>Carmen</strong> <strong>Bunzl</strong> Boulet Junio 2008

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