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Energy Systems and Technologies for the Coming Century ...

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Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, a slight decrease in <strong>the</strong> use of natural gas <strong>and</strong> heat pumps with increasingbattery capacity is experienced.TWh2524232221201918171615Coal3 4,5 6 7,5 9 11,5 15BEV 15BEV 29BEV 43BEV 58BEV 72PHEV (kWh)Figure 4 Electricity generation on coal in Finl<strong>and</strong>, 2030 (TWh)In Germany investments are in coal plants only. The majority of <strong>the</strong> generation is onnuclear, coal, <strong>and</strong> lignite. Both coal <strong>and</strong> lignite is increasing with increasing batterycapacities. It is interesting though, that with an increase in <strong>the</strong> BEVs battery capacity, <strong>the</strong>electricity generation on coal is decreasing as can be seen from Figure 5. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore,<strong>the</strong> largest increase is experienced with <strong>the</strong> increase from 3 to 6 kWh batteries in <strong>the</strong>PHEVs.TWh460Coal450440430420410BEV 15BEV 29BEV 43BEV 58BEV 724003 4,5 6 7,5 9 11,5 15PHEV (kWh)Figure 5 Electricity generation on coal in Germany, 2030 (TWh)Usage of lignite decreases up to a battery level of 4.5 kWh <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> PHEVs <strong>and</strong> increaseso<strong>the</strong>rwise (Figure 6). The level of renewable energy is 0%, due to resources <strong>and</strong> maybealso Germany only being allowed transmissions with <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r Nordic countries.Risø International <strong>Energy</strong> Conference 2011 Proceedings Page

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