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Energy Systems and Technologies for the Coming Century ...

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TWh170Lignite1651601551501451401351303 4,5 6 7,5 9 11,5 15BEV 15BEV 29BEV 43BEV 58BEV 72PHEV (kWh)Figure 6 Electricity generation on lignite in Germany, 2030 (TWh)Norway is atypical with a ra<strong>the</strong>r stable electricity production on water <strong>and</strong> an increasinginvestment <strong>and</strong> production on wind power with increasing battery capacities.In Sweden power production is primarily on wind, water, <strong>and</strong> nuclear. Investments arealmost non-changing. Changes in <strong>the</strong> use of natural gas are experienced (Figure 7). Asmall increase is seen up to 6 kWh in <strong>the</strong> PHEVs <strong>and</strong> after that, <strong>the</strong> use of natural gas isgenerally decreasing. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> use is decreasing with increasing batterycapacities in <strong>the</strong> BEVs. All of this is resulting in a level of approx. 71% of renewableenergy in Sweden in all scenarios.TWh10,90,80,70,60,50,40,30,20,10Natural Gas3 4,5 6 7,5 9 11,5 15BEV 15BEV 29BEV 43BEV 58BEV 72PHEV (kWh)Figure 7 Electricity generation on natural gas in Sweden, 2030 (TWh)CO2-emissions from electricity generationCO2-emissions increase <strong>for</strong> Germany <strong>and</strong> Finl<strong>and</strong> with increasing battery capacity <strong>and</strong>decrease in Denmark <strong>and</strong> Sweden. In Norway, CO2-emissions are stable.Charging <strong>and</strong> discharging of <strong>the</strong> vehicles (net from grid)Risø International <strong>Energy</strong> Conference 2011 Proceedings Page

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