Energy Systems and Technologies for the Coming Century ...

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parameter study, showing that the infrastructure technology would not enter into thesolution at much higher costs.Without further modification of the model the results for the electricity supply (Figure 4,left) shows the option for large scale heat supply by has little impact on the mix ofelectricity supply. However, there is a measurable increase in fossil generation withCCS.In contrast, the impact on the mix of heat supply technologies is more significant (Figure4, right). Large-scale district heating enters into the solution from about 2020.Geothermal heat becomes the dominant technology for heat supply in the model resultswhen CO 2 is constrained to 450 ppm. However, this technology is very dependent oninfrastructure matching geothermal resources and the market for heat at 100-200 ºC. Sofar, this infrastructure has not been considered in the model development.Globally, the increase in energy demand is much higher than for Europe, which willallow fusion to play a larger role by the end of the century, if left unconstrained. Theglobal results are highly influenced by the huge growth in the large developing regions,China and India. These results show clearly that much more elaborate constraints areneeded to reflect the physical structure and possible infrastructure development. Thisissue also applies for the TIAM model.7 ConclusionBoth CCS and fusion may benefit from infrastructure already developed for otherpurposes. In the next decades CCS can be a driver for the development and expansion oflarge-scale district heating systems, which are currently used for distribution of heatfrom fossil-fuel combined heat and power and urban waste incineration. If fusion willreplace CCS in the second half of the century, the same infrastructure for heatdistribution can be used, which will support the penetration of both technologies.ReferencesGrohnheit, P. E. (1993), Modelling CHP within a national power system. Energy Policy, Vol.21, No. 4, p. 418-429.Grohnheit, Poul Erik (2010), Modelling CCS, Nuclear Fusion, and large-scale DistrictHeating in EFDA-TIMES and TIAM. Regular ETSAP Workshop, 16 November 2010,Cork, Ireland.. http://www.ieaetsap.org/web/Workshop/Cork_11_2010/ETSAP_Cork_Grohnheit_v2.pdfGrohnheit, Poul Erik (2011), IEA-ETSAP TIMES models in Denmark - Preliminary Edition,Risø-R-1774(EN),http://130.226.56.153/rispubl/reports/ris-r-1774.pdfIEA (2008),. Energy Technology Perspectives 2008 – Scenarios and Strategies to 2050.Karlsson, Kenneth; Balyk, Olexandr; Morthorst, Poul Erik; Labriet, Maryse (2010), Energyscenarios for Denmark and Europe. In: Larsen, Hans; Petersen, Leif Sønderberg (Eds.)Risø Energy Report 9. Non-fossil energy technologies in 2050 and beyond. Risø-R-1729(EN) pp. 15-21.Lüthje, Mikael (2010), Carbon capture and storage. In: In: Larsen, Hans; Petersen, LeifSønderberg (Eds.) Risø Energy Report 9. Non-fossil energy technologies in 2050 andbeyond. Risø-R-1729(EN), pp. 67-70.Lüthje, M., K. Karlsson, J. Gregg, T. H. Y. Føyn, O. Balyk. The role of biomass and CCS inChina in a climate mitigation perspective, accepted for publication in Risø InternationalEnergy Conference 2011.Risø International Energy Conference 2011 Proceedings Page 649
Maisonnier, D., et al. (2007), Power plant conceptual studies in Europe. EFDA CSUGarching, et al.McKinsey & Co.(2008),, Carbon Capture & Storage: Assessing the Economics.Metz, B., O. Davidson, H. C. de Coninck, M. Loos, and L. A. Meyer (eds.), (2005), IPCCSpecial Report on Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage. Cambridge University,Orchard, William (2010), Why heat from combined heat and power (chp), vilnius three, is asrenewable as heat from electric heat pumps. A marginal analysis for fuel allocation toelectricity and heat. 11th IAEE European Conference, "Energy, Economy, Policies andSupply Security: Surviving the Global Economic Crisis”, Vilnius 25-28 August 2010.Rasmussen, Jens Juul; Lauritzen, Bent: Martiny, Lars Nonbøl, Erik; Hutchinson, Ian; Zohm ,Hartmut, (2010), Nuclear energy. In: Larsen, Hans; Petersen, Leif Sønderberg (Eds.) RisøEnergy Report 9. Non-fossil energy technologies in 2050 and beyond. Risø-R-1729(EN)pp. 61-65..Fidje, A., K. Espegren, M. Wangen, P. Seljom, A. Ramírez, R. Hoefnagels, Z. Wu, M. vanden Broek, N. Strachan, M. Blesl, T. Kober, P. E. Grohnheit, and M. Lüthje. StorageUtsira. Analysis of potentials and costs of storage of CO 2 in the Utsira aquifer in theNorth Sea. Final Report for the FENCO ERA-NET project, 2010.. https://www.fencoera.net/Storage_UtsiraWagner, Ulrich; Schock, Robert; Larsen, Hans; Petersen, Leif Sønderberg (2010), Systemaspects. In: Risø DTU In: Larsen, Hans; Petersen, Leif Sønderberg (Eds.) Risø EnergyReport 9. Non-fossil energy technologies in 2050 and beyond. Risø-R-1729(EN) pp. 71-76.10Risø International Energy Conference 2011 Proceedings Page 65
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Energy Systems and Technologies for
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ContentsSessions overview 1Programm
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sessions overview08:00-09:00Coffee
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11:00 - 12:30 session 6A - Bioenerg
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ContactSustainable Energy, Technica
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Penetration of new energy technolog
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how decisions are made and by whom
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(9) is the logaritimic expansion of
Page 17 and 18: (16)we may finally write Eq(14) in
Page 19 and 20: Table 1: Fast track cases for new r
Page 21 and 22: Peterka V. Macrodynamics of technol
Page 23 and 24: Growth in clean and reliable energy
Page 25 and 26: Conclusion - an ambitious vision an
Page 27 and 28: "Spurring investments in renewable
Page 29 and 30: Integrating climate change adaptati
Page 31 and 32: transport, and finance. Energy prov
Page 33 and 34: northern South America, the Caribbe
Page 35 and 36: Table 1: Energy system adaptation s
Page 37 and 38: More generally, a number of no- or
Page 39 and 40: 6 ReferencesADB, 2005. Climate proo
Page 41 and 42: Sailor, D.J., Smith, M., Hart, M.,
Page 43 and 44: Factors affecting stakeholder perce
Page 45 and 46: Another study conducted in Japan wa
Page 47 and 48: 4 The effect of information on stak
Page 49 and 50: Furthermore, communication to stake
Page 51 and 52: Shackley S, McLachlan C, Gough C (2
Page 53 and 54: Figure 1: Potential CO 2 storage si
Page 55 and 56: The Upper Jurassic - Lower Cretaceo
Page 57 and 58: The majority of the individual stru
Page 59 and 60: Development. Project no. ENK6-CT-19
Page 61 and 62: Section 5 summarises the key issue
Page 63 and 64: Table 1. Efficiencies for new large
Page 65 and 66: In addition, district heating syste
Page 67: 6.4 Model results from EFDA-TIMESIn
Page 71 and 72: 1Efficiency and effectiveness of pr
Page 73 and 74: 3Stromerzeugung [TWh/a]250200150100
Page 75 and 76: 54 Country-specific Lessons learned
Page 77 and 78: 7100%90%80%quota fullfilment (%)70%
Page 79 and 80: [5] Haas R., et al: Efficiency and
Page 81 and 82: The development and diffusion of re
Page 83 and 84: a. Offshore wind in DenmarkDenmark
Page 85 and 86: applicants are invited to submit a
Page 87 and 88: nies that provide upstream and down
Page 89 and 90: for both technology users and produ
Page 91 and 92: Trade Disputes over Renewable Energ
Page 93 and 94: treatment to imported renewable ene
Page 95 and 96: In Canada, the federal government i
Page 97 and 98: grid access, subsidies and land off
Page 99 and 100: In 2010, China’s total wind insta
Page 101 and 102: Source: Renewables 2010 Global Stat
Page 103 and 104: Source: REN 21, Renewables 2010 Glo
Page 105 and 106: Source: adapted from REN21, 2010It
Page 107 and 108: their precise scope and nature diff
Page 109 and 110: 60 daysBy 2 nd DSBmeetingConsultati
Page 111 and 112: discriminatory manner on domestic a
Page 113 and 114: the European Union, the North Ameri
Page 115: ended. China lost this case because
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As most countries in the world are
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Session 3A - Energy SystemsRisø In
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1 IntroductionWith the introduction
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occur. This is an undesirably burea
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This curve could be used as a new t
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ut for the total consumption, and i
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This gives the LBR an opportunity t
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concludes that the subsurface conta
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to constrain the evaluation. In add
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Fig. 2 SW-NE trending seismic profi
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Fig. 5. Petrophysical evaluation of
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ConclusionsThe Danish subsurface co
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Performance of Space Heating in aMo
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[5],[10],[11],[16],[18],[20],[26].
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2/3 Sun1 Coal1/3 ElPower plantHP1 H
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25002000Surplus(min(wind,prod-cons)
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160CO 2 emission per unit heat prod
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The calculations have been based on
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Session 3B - smart gridsRisø Inter
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2 Myopic Investments2.1 The Balmore
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Moreover, this model is formulated
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Reducing Electricity Demand Peaks b
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3 Event Driven Scheduling Algorithm
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5 Mapping Teletraffic Theory to Ene
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6.2 Results and Performance Metrics
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Energy Efficient Refrigeration and
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Virtual Power PlantAggregatorSuperm
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C p,rC p,fT rT fW cφ sT a(UA) raHe
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Total PowerP.G. #1P.G. #2C.R. #1201
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the availability payment.Simulation
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The constraint in Eq. (16) has the
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The FlexControl concept - a vision,
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can react on requests for power reg
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3 ControlThe concept is based solel
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one hour to the next - correspondin
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4 ProtectionThe protection of the p
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Session 4 - Efficiency Improvements
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the product portfolio point of view
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Figure 4: Principle flow sheet of t
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process information needed are seld
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AIRFINE®(Reference)MEROS®Ca(OH)2M
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4 Conclusion & DiscussionThe Eco-Ca
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1 Energy policy and EU directivesTh
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iomass CHP, heat pumps, electric bo
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Fig. 1: How to supply a growing hea
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Session 5A - Wind Energy IRisø Int
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The average cumulative growth rate
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turbines is expected to create a st
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O&MGridWindturbineSubstructureFigur
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Another idea is to harvest energy f
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9. Shimon Awerbuch, Determining the
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engaged in wind energy assessment,
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treated in such a way to make them
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Figure 5: Map showing the estimated
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Figure 9: The annual mean power den
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mix is required. For example diurna
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Session 5B - Wind Energy IIRisø In
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TABLE ISOME OF THE WIND TURBINE MAN
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China, has prompted all parties, in
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to the high shaft speed. Furthermor
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Superconductors must be kept cold b
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an annual increase in demand of 6%,
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Improved High Temperature Supercond
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our study to a single set of deposi
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3.2 Yttrium-enriched YBCO thin film
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Fig. 5. AC-susceptibility dependenc
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The j C (B) dependence at 50 K for
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Session 6A - Bioenergy IRisø Inter
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The European politicians are faced
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The fast growing demand for biomass
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Figure 2: Avedøre Power Plant in C
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Figure 5: Concept for a sustainable
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The role of biomass and CCS in Chin
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2.2.1 CCS Potential for ChinaCCS is
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80%70%60%China's share ofglobal CO
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In general, if the CCS technology d
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with high implementation of CCS Chi
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The European Biofuels Policy: from
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aimed to promote agriculture-based
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(EC, 2009b), and internationally vi
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Session 6B - Bio Energy IIRisø Int
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The commercial scale production of
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the production process parameters,
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NutrientWaterAlgal cultureproductio
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Schenk, P.M., Thomas-Hall, S.R., St
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Liquid biofuels from blue biomassZs
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Even though final ethanol yields we
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Integrated Gasification SOFC Plant
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2.1 Modelling of SOFCThe SOFC model
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where g 0 , R an T are the specific
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hand side y-axis corresponds to eff
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The moister content for these three
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Use of Methanation for Optimization
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power production from utilizing the
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2.1 Model DescriptionThe developed
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Figure 3: Flow sheet of methanation
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efficiency and turbine inlet temper
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[14] DNA - A Thermal Energy System
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On the effectiveness of standards v
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educing new car emissions to 120 g
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In addition energy consumption E an
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coefficient γ for the impact of fu
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400200Change in energy (PJ)01980 19
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Figure 9 depict scenarios for the f
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What are customers willing to pay f
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Randomly, continuous up to ±50%Acc
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The likelihood for the model is giv
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eally means that this factor and no
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Table 5-1 Parameter estimates from
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Table 6-2 Willingness to pay for 10
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Session 12 - Energy for Developing
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Risø International Energy Conferen
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existing renewable energy technolog
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useful energyend energysecondary en
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parts or the means of enforcing war
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The development of micro-hydro proj
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Table 1. Electric power generation
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5 ReferencesBajgain, S., Shakya, I.
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IntroductionElectricity has become
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of 2008, 43.6% of the total populat
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Hilmand provinces have comparativel
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….. eq. 5LCOE is the net present
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case of Nepal, it is 5% (Trading ec
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ing down the cost of solar PV modul
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3.3 Serving the rural areas with na
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The levelized costs of electricity
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Figure 4. Variation in LCOE with si
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The analysis reveals that fuel cost
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In case of DG, we have looked with
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Gross, R., Blyth, W., Heptonstall,
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Mode of Transport to Work, Car Owne
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power parity (PPP) basis, GDP per c
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83,385 to 109,108 while the number
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other purposes so that reduced fare
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emissions studies is that they were
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where I (·) is the indicator funct
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increases, individuals acquire more
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while that of other means of transp
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into CO 2 . For all oil and oil pro
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impact. In general, income is found
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7 ReferenceAlperovich, G., Deutsch,
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Table 1: Definitions of Variables a
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Session 13 - Energy StorageRisø In
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2 Storage demand and resulting stor
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compressed air storages, demand sit
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Fig. 3: Options for underground sto
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3.5 Geological potential in EuropeF
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Sensitivity on Battery Prices and C
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3.1 Base caseA northern European en
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4 ResultsThe model is run on a comp
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Furthermore, a slight decrease in t
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Night time charging increases with
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Lithuanian Energy Institute, PSE In
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atteries, Compressed Air Energy Sto
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negative net load, can be expected
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25%Pct. of the year20%15%10%5%0.5-0
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800006000040000MWh200000Netload-200
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[4] B. V. Mathiesen and H. Lund, "C
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Compressed Air Energy Storage in Of
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compressed air caverns, corrosion-r
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Figure 3: Distribution of salt depo
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Figure 6: EWEA's 20 year Offshore N
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spinning reserves can be provided b
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7 Discussion and conclusionsThis pa
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Risø DTU is the National Laborator
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