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Research in Engineering Education Symposium 2011 - rees2009

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Universidad Politécnica de Madrid (UPM) Pág<strong>in</strong>a 590 de 957<br />

Also, <strong>in</strong> all modules, students use commercial statistical software packages <strong>in</strong> order to<br />

treat the data sets and obta<strong>in</strong> the statistical measures used to support their decisions.<br />

Some problems found<br />

Tak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to account the student surveys and <strong>in</strong>formal <strong>in</strong>terviews with the laboratory<br />

students, carried out over the past two years, these are the ma<strong>in</strong> problems found so far<br />

with the ideas and concepts presented and current implementation of the Statistical<br />

Decision-Mak<strong>in</strong>g Laboratory:<br />

1. The data sets used <strong>in</strong> the laboratory are not representative of real economic data<br />

set. In the current implementation of the laboratory, the data used are<br />

synthetically generated, only for academic purposes, and thy do not represent real<br />

economic data.<br />

2. In some cases, it is difficult to relate the statistical results with its adequate realworld<br />

<strong>in</strong>terpretation. This is a consequence of the previous problem. For <strong>in</strong>stance,<br />

the result of an hypothesis test “Reject the null hypothesis H0” us<strong>in</strong>g non-real<br />

world data are difficult to <strong>in</strong>terpret by the student, which <strong>in</strong> turn causes a lack of<br />

assimilation of the ma<strong>in</strong> concepts and their applicability.<br />

3. The students ask for additional uses of the statistical tools presented <strong>in</strong> the<br />

Statistical Decision-Mak<strong>in</strong>g Laboratory to decision problems other than<br />

economical ones. The ma<strong>in</strong> focus of thelaboratory is to present examples related to<br />

economics and enterprise problems. The students demand a deeper presentation<br />

of the wide applicability of the methods presented <strong>in</strong> the laboratory.<br />

Changes proposal<br />

The problems stated <strong>in</strong> the previous section have served as guidel<strong>in</strong>es to propose some<br />

important changes <strong>in</strong> the design of the Statistical Decision-Mak<strong>in</strong>g Laboratory. These<br />

changes are briefly expla<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> the follow<strong>in</strong>g paragraphs.<br />

Use of real economic data<br />

It is considered the use of real economic data, <strong>in</strong> order to predict the behavior of economic<br />

<strong>in</strong>dexes, allow<strong>in</strong>g the students and the teacher to compare the real results of the methods<br />

with the results of the laboratory work. This comparison should be realized <strong>in</strong> a formal<br />

way, us<strong>in</strong>g decision theory pr<strong>in</strong>ciples (hypothesis test methodology).<br />

For <strong>in</strong>stance, the National Statistics Institute <strong>in</strong> Spa<strong>in</strong> (<strong>2011</strong>) has a lot of data sets<br />

concern<strong>in</strong>g all economic activities <strong>in</strong> Spa<strong>in</strong> and it also computes and ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>s a lot of<br />

economical <strong>in</strong>dexes used as a reference by many activity sectors <strong>in</strong> Spa<strong>in</strong>.<br />

In the six modules of the laboratory, the data sets used will be modified, employ<strong>in</strong>g new<br />

data sets taken directly from the National Statistics Institute of Spa<strong>in</strong>. Us<strong>in</strong>g these data, the<br />

students, for <strong>in</strong>stance <strong>in</strong> Module 2 (Time Series Analysis), can compute a determ<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

prediction of an economic magnitude of <strong>in</strong>dexes employ<strong>in</strong>g the time series analysis tools<br />

presented <strong>in</strong> that Module of the Laboratory, and they can compare the predicted value<br />

Proceed<strong>in</strong>gs of <strong>Research</strong> <strong>in</strong> Eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Education</strong> <strong>Symposium</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />

Madrid, 4 th - 7 th October <strong>2011</strong>

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