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Air Power, Insurgency and the “War on Terror” - Prof. Joel Hayward's ...

Air Power, Insurgency and the “War on Terror” - Prof. Joel Hayward's ...

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Chapter 9<br />

pers<strong>on</strong>ality behind which a much augmented populati<strong>on</strong> base followed. 390 The combined<br />

effect of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> increased means of disposal, plus <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> increased strength of will, served to<br />

raise <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> cost of victory to Israel.<br />

Where <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> media also came into play was in eroding <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> strength of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> will <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> part<br />

of Israelis <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> its close ally, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> US. Most of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> internati<strong>on</strong>al community agreed that in<br />

principle, retaliati<strong>on</strong> against Hezbollah for capturing two Israeli soldiers was justified. 391<br />

Yet as <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>flict c<strong>on</strong>tinued <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Hezbollah members began positi<strong>on</strong>ing <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>mselves so<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>y could document footage of Israel destroying civilian assets – which often c<strong>on</strong>tained<br />

weap<strong>on</strong>s that Hezbollah could use against Israel, such as katyusha rockets – questi<strong>on</strong>s<br />

of proporti<strong>on</strong>ality began to arise. This asserti<strong>on</strong> does not weigh in <strong>on</strong> whe<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r Israel’s<br />

approach was entirely proporti<strong>on</strong>al, but does make <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> claim that Hezbollah used <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

ambiguity of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> proporti<strong>on</strong>ality doctrine to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>ir advantage, largely through projecti<strong>on</strong>s<br />

in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> media. The Israeli government later acknowledged that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> images of IDF raids in<br />

Beirut <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> resulting civilian damage eroded its internati<strong>on</strong>al support over <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> course<br />

of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>flict. 392<br />

Gradually, members of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> internati<strong>on</strong>al community began to questi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> proporti<strong>on</strong>ality,<br />

a trend that peaked with <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> ill-fated attack <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Lebanese town of Qana. The collateral<br />

damage inflicted <strong>on</strong> Qana – almost inevitable given that Hezbollah was fighting from<br />

within densely-populated civilian areas– prompted widespread criticism of Israel’s<br />

approach to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>flict. Internati<strong>on</strong>al reacti<strong>on</strong>s to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> attack caused Israel to suspend air<br />

strikes for 48-hours, but <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> implicati<strong>on</strong>s of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> attack went bey<strong>on</strong>d Israeli foreign policy.<br />

The attacks “illustrated in heart-breaking images <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> enormous risks for <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> United States<br />

in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> current Middle East crisis.” 393 The US was already in a difficult positi<strong>on</strong> of <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<strong>on</strong>e h<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> seeking to support its ally, but <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r trying to mitigate anti-Americanism<br />

in a regi<strong>on</strong> with high strategic importance. Negotiating that balance became more<br />

difficult “with each new scene of carnage in sou<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>rn Leban<strong>on</strong>,” 394 particularly Qana.<br />

While <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> US formally maintained its support for Israel, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se incidents <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> images<br />

that followed no doubt shortened <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> timeline that it would support Israel’s prosecuti<strong>on</strong><br />

of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> war, which in turn fur<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r c<strong>on</strong>strained Israel’s strategic opti<strong>on</strong>s.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Air</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Power</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Asymmetric Operati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

Notwithst<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>ing <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> difficulties experienced in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Sec<strong>on</strong>d Leban<strong>on</strong> War, air power has<br />

important c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong>s to make in a variety of settings. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Air</str<strong>on</strong>g> power may be useful for<br />

strategic attack, counter-air – achieving air superiority – counter-space, counter-l<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> in<br />

a large-scale ground operati<strong>on</strong>s (air interdicti<strong>on</strong> or close air support), counter-sea, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

counter-informati<strong>on</strong>. 395 But <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> traditi<strong>on</strong>al doctrine <strong>on</strong> air power makes <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> assumpti<strong>on</strong><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Air</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Power</str<strong>on</strong>g>, <str<strong>on</strong>g>Insurgency</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> “War <strong>on</strong> Terror” 153

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