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Air Power, Insurgency and the “War on Terror” - Prof. Joel Hayward's ...

Air Power, Insurgency and the “War on Terror” - Prof. Joel Hayward's ...

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Starting with a Blank Sheet: Principles of War for a New Century<br />

delivery of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se weap<strong>on</strong>s with such accuracy <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> in near-zero visibility c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s was<br />

an incredible psychological blow.<br />

In three weeks Baghdad fell with a blessedly low cost of life: 139 Coaliti<strong>on</strong> deaths. Only<br />

two fixed-wing Coaliti<strong>on</strong> aircraft were lost to enemy fire. 435 “Shock <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> awe,” as <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> new<br />

operati<strong>on</strong>al scheme was dubbed, was amazingly successful.<br />

But <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>n things went horribly awry. A large part of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> resulting problems were caused by<br />

two decisi<strong>on</strong>s that, in retrospect, were terribly ill-advised <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> which are illustrative of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

new c<strong>on</strong>flict envir<strong>on</strong>ment that c<strong>on</strong>fr<strong>on</strong>ts us. The civilian head of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Coaliti<strong>on</strong> Provisi<strong>on</strong>al<br />

Authority (CPA), Paul Bremer, issued two edicts. First, <strong>on</strong> 16 May 2003, he directed a<br />

“de-Baathificati<strong>on</strong> program.” All senior Baath Party members, who occupied <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> majority<br />

of key administrative <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> bureaucratic positi<strong>on</strong>s in Iraq, were henceforth banned from<br />

holding such positi<strong>on</strong>s. 436 A week later he ordered <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> disarmament <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> disb<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>ing of<br />

both <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Iraqi armed forces <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Iraqi Nati<strong>on</strong>al Police Force. The result of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se two<br />

edicts was that virtually overnight a power vacuum was created in Iraq, allowing <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

forces of lawlessness to move in virtually unmolested. At <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> same time, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> two edicts<br />

effectively put tens of thous<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>s of highly-trained <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> capable Iraqis out of work, thus<br />

ensuring not <strong>on</strong>ly chaos in government services, but also deep enmity for those who<br />

had put <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se former civil servants into <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> ranks of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> unemployed. As <strong>on</strong>e member of<br />

Bremer’s staff later commented: “That was <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> week we made 450,000 enemies <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

ground in Iraq – <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> over <strong>on</strong>e milli<strong>on</strong> more, if <strong>on</strong>e counted <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>ir dependents.” 437<br />

The US military compounded <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se mistaken policies by inserting large numbers of<br />

c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>ally trained <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> equipped ground troops into an explosive situati<strong>on</strong> that<br />

dem<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>ed instead <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> expertise of those schooled in counter-insurgency operati<strong>on</strong>s.<br />

It is significant that US Army Field Manual 1 states baldly: “Decisive resoluti<strong>on</strong> of c<strong>on</strong>flicts<br />

normally occurs <strong>on</strong> l<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>. Of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Armed Forces’ capabilities, l<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> power is unique because<br />

<strong>on</strong>ly l<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> forces can occupy, c<strong>on</strong>trol, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> protect vital areas. People <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> resources – <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

participants, supporters, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> objectives of l<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> operati<strong>on</strong>s – can <strong>on</strong>ly be c<strong>on</strong>trolled or<br />

protected by l<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> forces.” 438<br />

Yet few plans were made to c<strong>on</strong>duct this “unique” missi<strong>on</strong>.<br />

Observers have noted that US Central Comm<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> had virtually no plans for <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> occupati<strong>on</strong><br />

phase of Operati<strong>on</strong> Iraqi Freedom. 439 This is <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> more surprising because a disturbing<br />

study d<strong>on</strong>e by <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> US Army’s Strategic Studies Institute reveals a peculiar spin that ground<br />

comm<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>ers put <strong>on</strong> planning for this crucial post-c<strong>on</strong>flict phase: 440<br />

In Iraq, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> US leadership did not seem to expect protracted irregular<br />

warfare bey<strong>on</strong>d <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> terminati<strong>on</strong> of major combat operati<strong>on</strong>s. As<br />

liberator of all Iraqis from a brutal tyranny, US forces, it was widely<br />

182<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Air</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Power</str<strong>on</strong>g>, <str<strong>on</strong>g>Insurgency</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> “War <strong>on</strong> Terror”

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