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Air Power, Insurgency and the “War on Terror” - Prof. Joel Hayward's ...

Air Power, Insurgency and the “War on Terror” - Prof. Joel Hayward's ...

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Chapter 9<br />

insurgents are unable to mass for a raid or generate any sort of c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al resp<strong>on</strong>se<br />

without being detected. Moreover, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> authors note, neighbouring countries that might<br />

be inclined to meddle with c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al forces, are also deterred. 398 While this argument<br />

is not entirely c<strong>on</strong>vincing, since <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> western militaries fight c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al c<strong>on</strong>flicts more<br />

successfully than asymmetric <strong>on</strong>es, it is n<strong>on</strong>e<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>less <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> case that a str<strong>on</strong>g air force at<br />

least bounds <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> instruments available to an adversary by being a deterrent to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> use of<br />

c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al forces.<br />

Third, in additi<strong>on</strong> to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se advantages, air forces play key support roles in terms of airlift,<br />

comm<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol, refuelling, ISR, evacuati<strong>on</strong>, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> logistics supply, less direct but<br />

equally important supporting roles. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Air</str<strong>on</strong>g>borne surveillance, for example, might track <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

adversary’s movements <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> guide ground forces towards enemy weap<strong>on</strong>s caches, with<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> aid of airborne fire support. The use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) especially <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

Predator, Global Hawk, Reaper, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> airborne satellite assets may add to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se advantages<br />

because <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>y can penetrate deep into enemy terrain <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> collect ISR against <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> adversary,<br />

providing tactical advantages. In terms of logistics supply, air forces can help protect supply<br />

lines against guerrillas. Commenting <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> importance of air power in this c<strong>on</strong>text, <strong>on</strong>e<br />

air power analyst noted that without air forces in Afghanistan, “US <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> NATO bases<br />

would become little Dienbienphus. Afghan’s previous invaders, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> British <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Soviets,<br />

were defeated by <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>ir ability to protect <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>ir l<strong>on</strong>g lines of communicati<strong>on</strong>s.” 399<br />

The objective with this analysis is not to vindicate air power in irregular warfare settings<br />

but ra<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r to dem<strong>on</strong>strate that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> choice between air power <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> ground forces is<br />

not binary. While air power may have fewer direct roles as it does in c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al air<br />

campaigns, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> experiences with Israel in Leban<strong>on</strong> should not be generalised too broadly<br />

to dismiss <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> utility of air power in this setting altoge<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r. As <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> internati<strong>on</strong>al coaliti<strong>on</strong><br />

has dem<strong>on</strong>strated in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>atres such as Afghanistan, air assets may not be assuming <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

direct roles as do <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> army <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> marine assets <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> ground, but are a critical instrument<br />

as part of a joint air-ground campaign, even in an irregular warfare setting.<br />

C<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>s<br />

Given <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> limited effects of air power against asymmetric adversaries, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> domestically<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> internati<strong>on</strong>ally unpopular prospect of using ground forces against Hezbollah, what<br />

were Israel’s strategic opti<strong>on</strong>s? The Israeli government could not st<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> by <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> appear to<br />

do nothing when bombs were falling <strong>on</strong> Israeli towns <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> soldiers were being captured.<br />

Moreover, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> government, new to office <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> seeking to fill <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> large shoes left by General<br />

Shar<strong>on</strong>, was right to assert its right of self-defence <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> retaliate in some way. While air<br />

power offered a way to dem<strong>on</strong>strate leadership resolve <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> appeal to society’s interest<br />

in doing something – without <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> need to mount legislative <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> civilian support for <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Air</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Power</str<strong>on</strong>g>, <str<strong>on</strong>g>Insurgency</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> “War <strong>on</strong> Terror” 155

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