DHL Global Connectedness Index 2014

DHL Global Connectedness Index 2014
53
countries (“credit mobility”). On a global basis, roughly 2%
of tertiary students are studying outside of their home countries.
Incorporating short-term exchanges might increase the
depth of international education from 2% to 3%. 52
international tourist arrivals will reach 1.8 billion by 2030,
implying 3% annualized growth over 2013–2030.
The depth of tertiary education has also grown in recent
years, but off of a very low base. The share of tertiary students
enrolled abroad grew from an estimated 2.0% in 2006
to an estimated 2.2% in 2012, after having fallen from 2.1%
to 2.0% from 2005 to 2006 due mainly to a growth spurt in
domestic university enrollment in China. As was the case
with global migration estimates, one should also be wary
of exaggerating the precision of these metrics beyond the
basic conclusion that roughly 2% of tertiary students are
enrolled abroad and international education also appears
to be on an increasing trend.
Tourism represents a short-term people flow (typically
days or weeks rather than years) and therefore is measured
based on the number of international tourist arrivals/departures
during a given year (excluding tourists
who do not stay overnight). The depth of international
tourism is calculated in the DHL Global Connectedness
Index as international tourist arrivals or departures per
capita because country-by-country data are not available
for the preferred metric: international tourist arrivals or
departures as a share of total (domestic and international)
arrivals or departures. Globally, however, the international
share of total tourist arrivals/departures is available and
amounted to 15%–18% in 2013. 53
International tourist arrivals grew 5% in 2013, and the
United Nations World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
projects 4%–4.5% growth in 2014 and estimates that