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Poverty and Human Development Report 2009 - UNDP in Tanzania

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Kilograms per Adult Equivalent<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

source: hoogeveen et al., <strong>2009</strong><br />

Cassava flour<br />

2007<br />

2000/01<br />

0 20 40 60 80 100<br />

Wealth Percentiles (from Poorest to Least Poor Households)<br />

Chapter 2<br />

Changes <strong>in</strong> consumption are not driven exclusively by changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>come, but are the comb<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

effect of changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>come levels (<strong>in</strong>come effect) <strong>and</strong> changes <strong>in</strong> relative prices (substitution<br />

effect). even if <strong>in</strong>comes rema<strong>in</strong> unchanged, households will adjust their mix of consumer goods<br />

<strong>in</strong> response to changes <strong>in</strong> relative prices. Between 2000/01 <strong>and</strong> 2007 food prices <strong>in</strong>creased by<br />

93% on average, but price changes for <strong>in</strong>dividual products differed considerably. the price of<br />

beef, for <strong>in</strong>stance, <strong>in</strong>creased by 149%, while that of rice <strong>in</strong>creased by 78%. so, <strong>in</strong> relative terms,<br />

beef became more expensive, while rice became cheaper.<br />

the household response to these price changes is illustrated <strong>in</strong> figure 56, which shows the<br />

change <strong>in</strong> the real price <strong>and</strong> the change <strong>in</strong> quantity consumed for n<strong>in</strong>e frequently consumed<br />

products. the figure shows that, with the exception of milk, more was consumed of products<br />

that became relatively cheaper (soft dr<strong>in</strong>ks, rice) <strong>and</strong> less of products that became relatively<br />

more expensive (beef <strong>and</strong> chicken). for products for which relative prices rema<strong>in</strong>ed unchanged<br />

(cassava flour, maize gra<strong>in</strong>, sugar <strong>and</strong> maize flour) the quantity consumed did not change very<br />

much. Consumption patterns of these products, therefore, generally reflect changes <strong>in</strong> relative<br />

prices rather than a change <strong>in</strong> the level of <strong>in</strong>come.<br />

157

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