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Poverty and Human Development Report 2009 - UNDP in Tanzania

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Figure 15: Infant <strong>and</strong> Under-Five Mortality, 1999, 2004/05 <strong>and</strong> 2007/08<br />

Deaths per 1,000 live births<br />

160<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

40<br />

32<br />

59<br />

36<br />

29 29<br />

99<br />

68<br />

Neonatal Post-Neonatal Infant Child Under-five<br />

58<br />

1999 2004/05 2007/08<br />

Sources: <strong>Tanzania</strong> Reproductive <strong>and</strong> Child Health Survey (TRCHS) 1999 (NBS & Macro International, 2000);<br />

<strong>Tanzania</strong> <strong>and</strong> Demographic Health Survey (TDHS) 2004/05 (NBS & ORC Macro, 2005); THMIS 2007/08<br />

(<strong>Tanzania</strong> Commission for AIDS (TACAIDS); NBS, Office of the Chief Government Statistician [Zanzibar]<br />

(OGCS) & Macro International, 2008).<br />

Figure 16: Estimated <strong>and</strong> Projected Under-Five Mortality 1997 - 2015<br />

Deaths per 1,000 live births<br />

160<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

1997<br />

TRCHS (1999)<br />

mid-year 1997<br />

1999<br />

2001<br />

TDHS, (2004/5<br />

mid-year 2002<br />

2003<br />

2005<br />

THMIS (2007/8)<br />

mid-year 2005<br />

2007<br />

<strong>2009</strong><br />

2011<br />

2013<br />

2015<br />

53<br />

47<br />

36<br />

147<br />

112<br />

91<br />

Under - Five Mortality<br />

MKUKUTA Target (79)<br />

MDG Target (47)<br />

CLUSTER II- GOAL 2<br />

Expon. (Under - Five<br />

Mortality)<br />

Sources: TRCHS 1999, TDHS 2004/05, THMIS 2007/08. Survey estimates are assigned to nearest “middle<br />

year” 33 with exponential trend l<strong>in</strong>e.<br />

33 Each survey measures mortality <strong>in</strong> the five years preced<strong>in</strong>g the survey. For the purpose of trend estimation,<br />

we have assigned the survey estimate to the middle year of the period measured.<br />

53

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