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Poverty and Human Development Report 2009 - UNDP in Tanzania

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pOVertY aND hUMaN DeVeLOpMeNt repOrt <strong>2009</strong><br />

Exports<br />

there has been an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> exports as a percentage of gdP s<strong>in</strong>ce 2000/01, from 14.6% to<br />

22% <strong>in</strong> 2007/08. the <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> goods exported has been largely due to <strong>in</strong>creased exploitation<br />

of natural resources, especially m<strong>in</strong>erals. More recently, exports of manufactured goods <strong>and</strong><br />

agricultural products have also <strong>in</strong>creased. <strong>in</strong> the past three years, agricultural exports have<br />

accounted for about 15% of the value of total exports. imports have also cont<strong>in</strong>ued to <strong>in</strong>crease,<br />

<strong>and</strong> at a faster rate than exports, result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> high trade deficits. however, a higher level of<br />

imports for <strong>in</strong>vestment is essential to support higher rates of growth.<br />

Goal 2 Promot<strong>in</strong>g Susta<strong>in</strong>able <strong>and</strong> Broad-based Growth<br />

the follow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dicators are analysed to assess progress towards the goal of susta<strong>in</strong>able <strong>and</strong><br />

broad-based growth:<br />

16<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

domestic credit to the private sector as a percentage of gdP<br />

Percentage <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> foreign direct <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />

<strong>in</strong>terest rate spread on lend<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> deposits<br />

Unemployment rate<br />

Percentage of trunk <strong>and</strong> regional roads <strong>in</strong> good <strong>and</strong> fair condition<br />

Proportion of enterprises undertak<strong>in</strong>g environmental impact assessments comply<strong>in</strong>g with<br />

regulations<br />

Domestic Credit to the Private Sector<br />

faster economic growth will not be possible without a deepen<strong>in</strong>g of the f<strong>in</strong>ancial system. banks<br />

are still not provid<strong>in</strong>g sufficient support to domestic <strong>in</strong>itiatives, especially small- <strong>and</strong> medium-scale<br />

enterprises (sMes) <strong>and</strong> the agricultural sector. while credit to the private sector has ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

an upward trend from 4.6% of gdP <strong>in</strong> 2001 to 13.8% <strong>in</strong> 2007, it rema<strong>in</strong>s low compared to<br />

other develop<strong>in</strong>g countries. banks rema<strong>in</strong> highly liquid <strong>and</strong> reluctant to exp<strong>and</strong> credit except<br />

to the most creditworthy borrowers. structural weaknesses <strong>in</strong> the f<strong>in</strong>ancial system also persist.<br />

Under-developed <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>efficient legal <strong>and</strong> regulatory systems <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>formation frameworks,<br />

particularly with respect to property rights, result <strong>in</strong> weak collateralisation of claims <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>adequate<br />

contract enforcement mechanisms.<br />

Foreign Direct Investment<br />

foreign direct <strong>in</strong>vestment (fdi) can spur growth by facilitat<strong>in</strong>g technology transfer, exp<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

market access <strong>and</strong> competition, f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g physical capital formation, <strong>and</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g human<br />

capabilities. for the period 2000 to 2008, fdi <strong>in</strong> tanzania has averaged Usd 485.6 million annually,<br />

<strong>and</strong> has <strong>in</strong>creased every year s<strong>in</strong>ce 2003 (figure 6). however, <strong>in</strong>flows have been concentrated<br />

largely <strong>in</strong> m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> tourism, <strong>and</strong> growth <strong>in</strong> the m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g sector has yet to <strong>in</strong>corporate domestic<br />

process<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> service systems <strong>in</strong> its value cha<strong>in</strong>s.

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