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Prognosemetoder – en oversikt - Telenor

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50<br />

volumet både regionalt og for husstandsog<br />

forretningsmarkedet i Televerket.<br />

For mer detaljert informasjon om programpakk<strong>en</strong>e<br />

h<strong>en</strong>vises det til [36].<br />

Referanser<br />

1 Trælnes, T, Stordahl, K. Behovsstudie<br />

for nye teletj<strong>en</strong>ester i hjemm<strong>en</strong>e.<br />

Kjeller, Televerkets Forskningsinstitutt,<br />

1976. (TF-rapport 19/76.)<br />

2 Trælnes, T, Stordahl, K. Bruk av<br />

markedsundersøkelse ved prognostisering<br />

av nye teletj<strong>en</strong>ester. Bedriftsøkonom<strong>en</strong>,<br />

9, 406<strong>–</strong>409, 1976.<br />

3 Stordahl, K. En markedsundersøkelse<br />

om knappsatsapparater og nye særtj<strong>en</strong>ester.<br />

Telektronikk, 73(3),<br />

230<strong>–</strong>241, 1977.<br />

4 Bøe, J, Hjelkrem, C. Utarbeiding av<br />

prognoser for etterspørsel etter telefonabonnem<strong>en</strong>t<br />

i Oslo teledistrikt.<br />

Telektronikk, 87(1), 93<strong>–</strong>109, 1991.<br />

5 Bøe, J, Stordahl, K. Tellerskritt<strong>en</strong>e <strong>–</strong><br />

Televerkets viktigste inntektskilde.<br />

Telektronikk, 87(1), 78<strong>–</strong>92, 1991.<br />

6 Box, G E P, J<strong>en</strong>kins, G M. Time series<br />

analyses: forecasting and control.<br />

San Fransisco, Hold<strong>en</strong> Day, 1969.<br />

7 Gilchrist, W. Statistical forecasting.<br />

New York, Wiley, 1976.<br />

8 Makridakis, S, Wheelwright, S,<br />

Mcgee. Forecasting: methods and<br />

application. New York, Wiley, 1978.<br />

9 Wonnacott, T H, Wonnacott, R J.<br />

Regression. New York, Wiley, 1981.<br />

10 Abraham, B, Ledolter, J. Statistical<br />

methods for forecasting. New York,<br />

Wiley, 1983.<br />

11 Lev<strong>en</strong>bach, H, Cleary, J P. The<br />

modern forecaster. Belmont, Calif.,<br />

Lifetime Learning Publications,<br />

1984.<br />

12 CCITT. GAS 10 Handbook, Data<br />

aquisition and forecasting methods<br />

for telecommunication planning.<br />

G<strong>en</strong>ève, 1987.<br />

13 Harvey, A C. Forecasting, structural<br />

time series models and the Kalman<br />

filter. Cambridge, Mass., 1989.<br />

14 Theil, H. Principles of econometrics.<br />

New York, Wiley, 1971.<br />

15 Mosteller, F, Tukey. Data analyses<br />

and regression. Reading, Mass.,<br />

Addison Wesley, 1977.<br />

16 Draper, N R, Smith, H. Applied<br />

regression analysis, 2nd ed. New<br />

York, Wiley, 1981.<br />

17 Chow. Econometrics. New York,<br />

McGraw Hill, 1983.<br />

18 Lekval, P, Wahlbin, C. A study of<br />

some assumptions underlying<br />

innovation diffusion functions.<br />

Swedish Journal of Economics, 1973.<br />

19 Hernes, G. Diffusion and growth <strong>–</strong><br />

the non-homog<strong>en</strong>eous case. Scandinavian<br />

Journal of Economics,<br />

1976.<br />

20 Blindheim, E, Rygg, M. En modell<br />

for å utarbeide prognoser for nye<br />

teletj<strong>en</strong>ester. Kjeller, Televerkets<br />

Forskningsinstitutt, 1982. (TF-rapport<br />

13/82.)<br />

21 Log, S. Diffusjonsmodeller for nye<br />

teletj<strong>en</strong>ester. Kjeller, Televerkets<br />

Forskningsinstitutt, 1982. (TF-rapport<br />

14/82.)<br />

22 Bøe, J, Hjelkrem, C. Metodebeskrivelse<br />

for utarbeidelse av prognoser for<br />

ISDN-aksesser i Oslo teledistrikt.<br />

Telektronikk, 87(1), 110<strong>–</strong>123, 1991.<br />

23 Montgomery, D C, Johnson, L A.<br />

Forecasting and time series analyses.<br />

New York, McGraw-Hill, 1976.<br />

24 Makridakis, S, Wheelwright, S.<br />

Interactive forecasting. San<br />

Fransisco, Calif., Hold<strong>en</strong> Day, 1977.<br />

25 Brown, R G. Smoothing, forecasting<br />

and prediction. Englewood Cliffs, N<br />

J, Pr<strong>en</strong>tice Hall, 1963.<br />

26 Winters, P R. Forecasting sales by<br />

expon<strong>en</strong>tially weighted moving<br />

averages. Managem<strong>en</strong>t service, 6(3),<br />

324<strong>–</strong>342, 1960.<br />

27 Stordahl, K et al. Korttidsprognosemodeller<br />

basert på tidsrekkeanalyse,<br />

Del I og II. Kjeller, Televerkets<br />

Forskningsinstitutt, 1979. (TF-rapport<br />

10/79.)<br />

28 Stordahl, K. Analysing telecommunication<br />

data by use of ARIMA<br />

models. Forecasting Public Utility.

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