Prognosemetoder – en oversikt - Telenor

2) Of all households that might end up with a home office, what percentage of the user terminals and teleservice do
you believe will be paid by the household, and what percentage will be paid by the employer?
Percentage paid by the household: Percentage paid by the employer:
(Note: The two columns must add up to 100 %)
Comments (if any):
3) Given that the annual costs (1993 NOK) are as given in the table. What percentage of the residential market do you
believe will demand a telecommunication service for this application?
(Note: Assume overall prices and income to be constant over time, and that there is a universal knowledge of the application. For explanation of
annual costs, see page 6.)
Comments (if any):
4) What percentage of the residential market do you believe over time will end up with a telecommunications service
for this application?
(Note: Assume a cost and a cost-trend which will be implicit in your demand predictions.)
Comments (if any):
5) Given that the household pays, and given the following set of annual disposable income of the household. How
much of the income do you believe a family will be willing to spend on this application?
(Note: For explanation of annual disposable income, see page 6.)
Comments (if any):
6) What kind of alternatives might exist for this application?
Answer:
% %
In the case of wideband teleservices
Annual costs: 5800 NOK 6600 NOK 8200 NOK 9900 NOK 19800 NOK
Answer (percentage): % % % % %
In the case of broadband teleservices
Annual costs: 15000 NOK 20000 NOK 25000 NOK 30000 NOK 60000 NOK
Answer (percentage): % % % % %
In the case of wideband teleservices
Year: 1995 2000 2005 2010 Maximum demand
(Saturation)
Answer (percentage): % % % % %
In the case of broadband teleservices
Year: 1995 2000 2005 2010 Maximum demand
(Saturation)
Answer (percentage): % % % % %
Disposable income: 66 000 NOK 100 000 NOK 165 000 NOK 290 000 NOK 410 000 NOK
Answer (NOK): NOK NOK NOK NOK NOK
Figur 4.2 Spørsmål knyttet til video on demand tjenesten
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