19.11.2014 Aufrufe

GAP-JOURNAL 2012/13 - AFA

GAP-JOURNAL 2012/13 - AFA

GAP-JOURNAL 2012/13 - AFA

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73<br />

universal computing machine, aso-called Turing machine, wecan ask, whether computing<br />

the solution ofagiven problem will stop at some point oftime with aresult.<br />

Turings analogon of Gödels theorem reads asfollows:<br />

For each Turingmachine programme that shouldcompute, whether agivenTuringmachine<br />

programme will halt, there exist aprogramme and input data, sothat the algorithm cannot<br />

decide.<br />

This leads astothe assumption that we cannot arbitrarily exactly decide within more<br />

complex system and thus we receive the borders of computability asthe borders of system<br />

complexity. To summarize this point: Complex systems donot necessarily need to<br />

be complete –not all questions we put into the model will lead us to an answer. And<br />

this fact itselfisproven.<br />

Still, if we perceive human intelligence being ofaholistic kind, we can think ofcomplex<br />

systems that may not bedecidable themselves, but with our outside view seem to<br />

be quite trivial (Weizenbaum 1978).<br />

Using acomplex model instead of asimple one to map realitytoour system can create a<br />

kind of blurring. The system is not any more providing information inhigh precision,<br />

but still accuracy could beeven higher. Indeed, with the sophisticated statistical methods<br />

we have recently developed ine.g. theoretical physics orthe big data industry, we<br />

can access new kinds of knowledge. The availability and further development of these<br />

statistical methods will be akey factor to theincreasingofcomplex system deployment.<br />

From thesystemtothe business model<br />

To point out the importance ofaholistic and intense understanding of complex systems<br />

for future business innovations, let ustake alook at the evolution ofinformation technology<br />

(IT). Irving Wladawsky-Berger, IBM Vice President for Technology and Strategy,<br />

describes the development ofthe IT sector in thelast years:<br />

“At first, ITwas primarily applied toautomate back office, payroll, and inventory management.<br />

[…] Astime went on, IT was increasingly applied tointeractive applications that<br />

enabled people todofor themselves tasks that previously required human assistance. […]<br />

Customer self-service was arguably the commercial killer-app ofthe Web in the ‘90s. […]<br />

Beyond back-office automation, personal productivity and customer self-service, Ibelieve<br />

that recent advances in IT are now enabling us to applytechnology to significantly improve<br />

the productivity of services, and isthus ushering usinto the next major phase in the evolutionofwork”<br />

(Hefley2008, p.x).

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