An Ocean Blueprint for the 21st Century - California Ocean ...

1. INTRODUCTIONAconstant theme in discussions of the nation’scoasts and oceans, including the Great Lakes, iswhat the Stratton Commission called the “intensifyinguse of coastal area”(Commission on MarineScience Engineering and Resources 1969). One particularconcern has been a large and steadily increasingpopulation. A frequently cited figure is that thecoast contains over half of the population of the U.S.,but just over 11% of the area. ((Rappaport, J. andSachs, J. D. 2001);(Bookman, C. A. et al. 1998))Another concern has been the level of economicactivity taking place in coastal areas and its effects onresources. There is no doubt that the pressure of populationand economic activity on the limitedresources of the coasts and oceans is large and growing.The U.S. Ocean Policy Commission receivedsubstantial input to this effect. But the socioeconomicforces at work are at once more subtle anddramatic than are usually cited.Reshaping America’s policies towards the oceansin the future must rest on an understanding of thoseforces. This report examines major trends over thepast one to three decades in the socio-economicforces affecting America’s coasts and oceans. Thereport uses primary Census and economic data fromfederal and state sources to explore how population,housing, employment and earnings, and productionin the coastal regions are changing. The data in thisreport includes standard Census data as well as specialanalyses of economic data prepared for theCommission by the National Ocean EconomicsProject, an independent research effort funded byNOAA and EPA. This data on the coastal and oceaneconomy has not been previously available.The report begins by examining the term “coast”to provide some definitional clarity to a term that hasbeen used with so many different meanings that it isalmost impossible to compare one study to another.Next, it explores population and housing trends,both over the thirty years since the StrattonCommission report as well over the most recentdecade. It then explores the coastal and ocean economy,making a distinction between the myriad ofeconomic activities that take place in coastal regionsand those that are directly tied to the oceans andGreat Lakes. This analysis focuses on the measurementof economic activity involving market transactionsand measured by widely-used statistical series.Beyond these measures, researchers are uncoveringimportant evidence that the size of the economic valuesassociated with the coasts and oceans are muchlarger than conventional measures capture.The report then examines the implications ofthese trends for coastal and ocean resource managementpolicy, and concludes with a discussion of theneed for future commitments to maintain andimprove our understanding of the socio-economicenvironment of the oceans.C 4A N O CEAN B LUEPRINT FOR THE 21ST C ENTURY