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An introductory text-book of logic - Mellone, Sydney - Rare Books at ...

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OR SCIENTIFIC METHOD. 293<br />

he tre<strong>at</strong>s it as a different kind <strong>of</strong> pro<strong>of</strong> from<br />

&quot;<br />

induction,&quot; or<br />

the<br />

&quot;<br />

methods fail. In complex cases, where numerous causes<br />

&quot;<br />

experimental methods ; it is available where these<br />

are interacting to produce an effect, the laws <strong>of</strong> the separ<strong>at</strong>e<br />

causes must be ascertained by &quot;induction&quot; (i.e., by one or<br />

more <strong>of</strong> the five methods mentioned by Mill, Agreement,<br />

Difference, Double Agreement, Concomitant Vari<strong>at</strong>ions,<br />

Residues) ; then follows the suggestion or hypothesis, th<strong>at</strong><br />

a particular combin<strong>at</strong>ion <strong>of</strong> these causes is <strong>at</strong> work in the<br />

particular case ; the effect <strong>of</strong> the supposed combin<strong>at</strong>ion is<br />

ascertained by deductive reasoning, and the results <strong>of</strong> the tA<br />

deductions are compared with the facts. He refuses to calK<br />

this process<br />

&quot;<br />

induction,&quot; and restricts this term to the pro<br />

cess <strong>of</strong> generalising from experience by the five methods.<br />

He must have regarded these methods as applicable directly,<br />

without any previous assumption, to the masses <strong>of</strong> fact which<br />

ordinary experience presents to us : by this means the facts<br />

are to be made to disclose uniform laws. This is just wh<strong>at</strong><br />

*K V*-<br />

the methods will not do. They require prepared m<strong>at</strong>erial ;<br />

and this means th<strong>at</strong> they require much preliminary scientific<br />

arrangement <strong>of</strong> facts. They require also preliminary theories<br />

or conjectures to be tested.<br />

In the Methods <strong>of</strong> Observ<strong>at</strong>ion and Experiment the<br />

function <strong>of</strong> hypothesis is restricted to the suggestion <strong>of</strong><br />

possible causes ;<br />

but in the Methods <strong>of</strong> Explan<strong>at</strong>ion, its<br />

function is more fundamental. The complete Method<br />

<strong>of</strong> Explan<strong>at</strong>ion, which is also the complete Inductive<br />

Method, has four stages :<br />

1. Preliminary observ<strong>at</strong>ion, either by simple appeal<br />

to some fact <strong>of</strong> ordinary experience ; or by more<br />

complex processes, as in the Methods <strong>of</strong> In<br />

ductive Observ<strong>at</strong>ion and Experiment.<br />

2. Form<strong>at</strong>ion <strong>of</strong> an hypothesis to explain the fact or<br />

law which is thus disclosed.<br />

3. Deduction according to the first figure : the hypo<br />

thesis being tre<strong>at</strong>ed as a general principle from<br />

which conclusions are drawn.

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