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An introductory text-book of logic - Mellone, Sydney - Rare Books at ...

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OR SCIENTIFIC METHOD. 295<br />

without entering into m<strong>at</strong>hem<strong>at</strong>ical details, to explain<br />

the process by which the ultim<strong>at</strong>e suggestion was brought<br />

under his consider<strong>at</strong>ion ; and it would be equally so to<br />

convey an idea <strong>of</strong> the immense mass <strong>of</strong> calcul<strong>at</strong>ion<br />

through which he toiled in putting each <strong>of</strong> his successive<br />

theories to the test <strong>of</strong> agreement with the observ<strong>at</strong>ions.<br />

Finally, after working his way<br />

in altern<strong>at</strong>e exult<strong>at</strong>ion <strong>at</strong><br />

anticip<strong>at</strong>ed triumphs, and bitter disappointment when,<br />

one after another, they vanished in air, driving him, as<br />

he says, almost to insanity/ he <strong>at</strong> length had the<br />

intense gr<strong>at</strong>ific<strong>at</strong>ion <strong>of</strong> finding th<strong>at</strong> an elliptic orbit de<br />

scribed about the sun in one <strong>of</strong> the foci agreed accur<strong>at</strong>ely<br />

with the observed motions <strong>of</strong> the planet Mars.&quot; 1 The<br />

irregularity <strong>of</strong> its movement vanished ; all its observed<br />

positions became intelligible, were &quot;explained,&quot; when<br />

seen to be successive points on this simple and symmetri<br />

cal curve. The hypothesis, thus proved for Mars, was<br />

extended by analogy to the other known planets, and<br />

proved true <strong>of</strong> them also, by observ<strong>at</strong>ions as accur<strong>at</strong>e as<br />

were then available, Kepler perceiving th<strong>at</strong> his original<br />

assumption as to the motion <strong>of</strong> the earth was only an<br />

approxim<strong>at</strong>e one. Thus was established<br />

&quot;<br />

Kepler s first<br />

Law.&quot; There could be no better instance <strong>of</strong> how dis<br />

connected facts are<br />

&quot;<br />

explained<br />

&quot;<br />

by being brought under<br />

general laws. In s Kepler case the law had to be dis<br />

covered ; but in the same sense we<br />

&quot;<br />

&quot;<br />

explain an event<br />

when we can show it to be a new instance <strong>of</strong> a known<br />

law.<br />

(b) We may &quot;explain&quot; law by law. Of such ex<br />

plan<strong>at</strong>ion there are two kinds. A given law may be<br />

shown to result from the combined oper<strong>at</strong>ion <strong>of</strong> other<br />

laws. Thus, the motion <strong>of</strong> a projectile, if we neglect<br />

the resistance <strong>of</strong> the air, is a parabola. This is<br />

1 Baden Powell, History <strong>of</strong> N<strong>at</strong>ural Philosophy, p. 150.<br />

&quot;<br />

ex-

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