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An introductory text-book of logic - Mellone, Sydney - Rare Books at ...

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304<br />

THE THEORY OF INDUCTION<br />

<strong>of</strong> such magnitude as ferment<strong>at</strong>ion was caused by the<br />

growth <strong>of</strong> an invisible vegetable organism ; hence<br />

analogy suggested th<strong>at</strong> the animalcuke, whose presence<br />

was detected in the infected blood, might after all be<br />

the true cause <strong>of</strong> the diseases in question. This<br />

hypothesis, being experimentally verified, was proved<br />

to be true by applic<strong>at</strong>ions <strong>of</strong> the Double Method <strong>of</strong><br />

Difference. The old theory, th<strong>at</strong> these diseases were<br />

caused by a virus introduced into the blood, could<br />

only give a forced explan<strong>at</strong>ion <strong>of</strong> many known facts ;<br />

and it had to give way to a new theory, harmonising<br />

all the facts. But the new theory was originally<br />

suggested by analogy with the old ; and the specula<br />

tions with regard to the action <strong>of</strong> the virus which were<br />

based upon facts did not lose their value ; they simply<br />

had to be revised by the aid <strong>of</strong> the new light shed on<br />

the question.<br />

13. We have seen th<strong>at</strong> the perception <strong>of</strong> an analogy<br />

may lead to the formul<strong>at</strong>ion <strong>of</strong> a general law as an hypo<br />

thesis to explain two things between which some signi<br />

ficant resemblance is discerned. We &quot;two say things&quot;<br />

vaguely, r<strong>at</strong>her than &quot;two events,&quot; because one <strong>of</strong> them<br />

may be itself an hypothesis or theory, and the other an<br />

event which partly comes under it but suggests a modi<br />

fic<strong>at</strong>ion <strong>of</strong> it. We now proceed to consider the charac<br />

teristics <strong>of</strong> a good hypothesis, and the conditions under<br />

which we may regard an hypothesis as proved.<br />

We must understand first th<strong>at</strong> the invention <strong>of</strong><br />

hypotheses is the work <strong>of</strong> the scientific genius. In<br />

the previous section we were discussing the ways in<br />

which hypotheses might be &quot;suggested&quot;; but before<br />

they can be suggested there must be a mind prepared<br />

to receive the suggestion. They are the cre<strong>at</strong>ions <strong>of</strong><br />

the investig<strong>at</strong>or s mind. There is such a thing as

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