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An introductory text-book of logic - Mellone, Sydney - Rare Books at ...

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298<br />

THE THEORY OF INDUCTION<br />

(/.*., the radius <strong>of</strong> the earth) ; and, squaring<br />

these num<br />

bers, the inverse proportion would be th<strong>at</strong> <strong>of</strong> the spaces<br />

fallen through in one second by the moon, and by a<br />

body<br />

<strong>at</strong> the surface <strong>of</strong> the earth. If this calcul<strong>at</strong>ed<br />

result agreed with the result actually observed, his con<br />

jecture would be verified ; and the very same force <strong>of</strong><br />

gravity which causes bodies to fall near the earth, would<br />

be th<strong>at</strong> which causes the moon to fall, or, in other<br />

words, to be deflected from a rectilinear course, and to<br />

describe her orbit round the earth.&quot; In this calcul<strong>at</strong>ion<br />

Newton took for the radius <strong>of</strong> the earth the length which<br />

<strong>at</strong> th<strong>at</strong> time (about 1666) was considered accur<strong>at</strong>e, and<br />

the result did not verify his conjecture ; there was a<br />

difference <strong>of</strong> two feet per second between the actual and<br />

the calcul<strong>at</strong>ed deflection <strong>of</strong> the moon. This small dis<br />

crepancy was large enough, in Newton s opinion, to show<br />

th<strong>at</strong> his cherished hypothesis could not account for the<br />

facts ; and he dismissed the subject from his thoughts<br />

for some time. But in 1682 the radius <strong>of</strong> the earth had<br />

been more accur<strong>at</strong>ely calcul<strong>at</strong>ed. Newton substituted<br />

the new value in his former proportion, and &quot;having<br />

proceeded a little way in the calcul<strong>at</strong>ion, was utterly<br />

unable to carry it on, from the overpowering excitement<br />

<strong>of</strong> its anticip<strong>at</strong>ed termin<strong>at</strong>ion ; and he requested a friend<br />

to finish it for him.&quot; The result was th<strong>at</strong> the moon s<br />

deflection, as calcul<strong>at</strong>ed from his hypothesis, agreed with<br />

the deflection calcul<strong>at</strong>ed from observ<strong>at</strong>ion. This gre<strong>at</strong><br />

result sufficed as a clue to the whole mechanism <strong>of</strong> the<br />

planetary system, and afterwards <strong>of</strong> the universe. New<br />

ton proceeded to show, by his unrivalled powers <strong>of</strong><br />

m<strong>at</strong>hem<strong>at</strong>ical calcul<strong>at</strong>ion, th<strong>at</strong> Kepler s Laws are a ne<br />

cessary consequence <strong>of</strong> the Law <strong>of</strong> Gravit<strong>at</strong>ion. If we<br />

have bodies freely revolving round a common centre<br />

<strong>of</strong> force, which <strong>at</strong>tracts them with a &quot;pull&quot; varying

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