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An introductory text-book of logic - Mellone, Sydney - Rare Books at ...

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OR SCIENTIFIC METHOD. 299<br />

inversely as the squares <strong>of</strong> their distances from it, then<br />

the following laws must hold : good (a) Their orbits<br />

must be ellipses with the<br />

&quot;<br />

&quot;<br />

centre <strong>of</strong> force in a focus ;<br />

((3} the radius drawn from each moving body<br />

to the<br />

centre must describe equal areas in equal times ; (7) the<br />

periodic times <strong>of</strong> their revolution vary<br />

as the cubes <strong>of</strong><br />

their mean distances from the centre. These were the<br />

same three laws which Kepler had shown, from Tycho s<br />

observ<strong>at</strong>ions, to be true <strong>of</strong> the motions <strong>of</strong> the planets<br />

round the sun, and which other observ<strong>at</strong>ions showed to<br />

be true <strong>of</strong> the motions <strong>of</strong> s<strong>at</strong>ellites round their planets,<br />

as was most evident in the case <strong>of</strong> Jupiter and S<strong>at</strong>urn.<br />

Newton went further, and proved th<strong>at</strong> if his law were<br />

absolutely true, Kepler s could only be approxim<strong>at</strong>ely so ;<br />

for the <strong>at</strong>traction holds not only between the sun and the<br />

planets, but between the planets themselves. Hence it<br />

was impossible th<strong>at</strong> their orbits should be perfectly ellip<br />

tical; and the more accur<strong>at</strong>e observ<strong>at</strong>ion which afterwards<br />

became possible, showed th<strong>at</strong> just such<br />

&quot;<br />

perturb<strong>at</strong>ions<br />

take place as would be expected if Newton s law<br />

&quot;<br />

were<br />

true. <strong>An</strong>d by rigorous deductions it has been shown<br />

th<strong>at</strong> his law is competent to account for the complex<br />

motions actually observable in the solar system. They<br />

are<br />

&quot;<br />

&quot;<br />

accounted or<br />

for,&quot; explained,&quot; in being proved to<br />

be consequences <strong>of</strong> the law. It is this demonstr<strong>at</strong>ion,<br />

th<strong>at</strong> the consequences <strong>of</strong> a law do actually agree with<br />

facts, th<strong>at</strong> forms for Science the verific<strong>at</strong>ion <strong>of</strong> th<strong>at</strong> law.<br />

11. We now proceed to deal with the question,<br />

How are hypotheses suggested ? There are two prin<br />

cipal means by which facts may be made to suggest<br />

a theory<br />

(a) By the Method <strong>of</strong> Agreement ;<br />

(b) By <strong>An</strong>alogy.<br />

The account already given <strong>of</strong> the Method <strong>of</strong> Agreement

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