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CRANFIELD UNIVERSITY DAREN BOWYER JUST WAR DOCTRINE

CRANFIELD UNIVERSITY DAREN BOWYER JUST WAR DOCTRINE

CRANFIELD UNIVERSITY DAREN BOWYER JUST WAR DOCTRINE

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One consequence of the blurring of distinctions and the increasing importance of non-<br />

state actors, is that clearly identifying a principal cause of conflict, and thus seeing the<br />

way to peaceful resolution, is all the more difficult. Münkler argues that ‘the<br />

impenetrable web of motives and causes, which often leaves no prospect of lasting<br />

peace, is a direct consequence of the fact that it is not states but para-state players that<br />

confront one another in the new wars.’ 24 Paul Richards 25 would concur: none of the<br />

mono-causal theories advanced in explanation of new wars really holds up. If it were,<br />

as is often argued, scarcity of resources that provoked violent conflict, then the arrival<br />

of international aid should conclude it. In fact, argues Richards 26 , there is plenty of<br />

empirical evidence to contradict this; international aid often itself becomes a resource in<br />

the conflict. Richards also rejects the so-called ‘new barbarism’ thesis – that new wars<br />

are simply the re-emergence of ancient rivalries and hatreds held artificially in-check by<br />

the Cold War. ‘Ethnic consciousness’ he suggests ‘emerges at the boundary between<br />

groups rather than being something intrinsic to the group itself.’ 27 In other words the<br />

fracture lines need to be in place in order to highlight the ethnic divide, not the other<br />

way around. Michael Ignatieff has argued similarly 28 . Richards finds the ‘greed-not-<br />

grievance’ thesis similarly unconvincing and, thus highlighting the inadequacy of<br />

mono-causal explanations, proposes that ‘(new) war only makes sense as an aspect of<br />

social process’ 29 Richards’ view of new war, then, is of war and peace as part of a<br />

continuum that lacks precise boundaries:<br />

(P)re war peace is often more delicate and finely balanced than appreciated, and<br />

.. the seeds of war are to be seen shooting up in peace; … the shift towards<br />

intense armed conflict is a process with many twists and turns (and significant<br />

pauses, relevant as opportunities for peace makers); … conflict is sustained by<br />

an emergent sociology and economy of war; .. turning back towards peace, even<br />

beyond a peace agreement, is a rocky path with many pitfalls; … the hidden or<br />

silent violence behind the conflict has to be addressed if peace is to be sustained<br />

(justice matters); ….’ 30<br />

This would concur with Münkler’s view that a key defining facet of new wars is their<br />

lack of boundaries and distinctions, which were effected by the statization of war and<br />

are now eroded by its increasing destatization. It would also support an argument for<br />

pre-emptive action; peacekeeping today cannot be simply about consensual separation.<br />

Nor, if war is a social process rather than a discontinuity sparked by particular causes or<br />

170

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