Global Report on Human Settlements 2007 - PoA-ISS
Global Report on Human Settlements 2007 - PoA-ISS
Global Report on Human Settlements 2007 - PoA-ISS
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10<br />
Understanding Urban Safety and Security<br />
The poor are<br />
disproporti<strong>on</strong>ately<br />
victimized by the<br />
three threats to<br />
safety and security<br />
examined in this<br />
volume<br />
Slums are … the<br />
locus of the greatest<br />
deprivati<strong>on</strong> in<br />
material welfare in<br />
societies … and also<br />
lack the instituti<strong>on</strong>al<br />
and legal framework<br />
to guarantee<br />
their safety and<br />
security<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Global</str<strong>on</strong>g> statistical<br />
evidence shows<br />
str<strong>on</strong>g correlati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
between level of<br />
development and<br />
the degree of urban<br />
security, as<br />
measured by the<br />
incidence of disaster<br />
and crime and<br />
violence<br />
This observati<strong>on</strong>, however, must be tempered by the<br />
reality of growing numbers of urban residents living in<br />
poverty, lacking basic infrastructure and services, housing<br />
and employment, and living in c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s lacking safety and<br />
security. As Chapters 3, 5 and 7 of this <str<strong>on</strong>g>Global</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Report</str<strong>on</strong>g> will<br />
illustrate in detail, the poor are disproporti<strong>on</strong>ately victimized<br />
by the three threats to safety and security examined in this<br />
volume: crime and violence, insecurity of tenure, and natural<br />
and human-made disasters. This unequal distributi<strong>on</strong> of risk<br />
and vulnerability is a major burden for the poor as a whole. It<br />
also has a disproporti<strong>on</strong>ate impact <strong>on</strong> groups least able to<br />
defend themselves: women, children, the elderly and the<br />
disabled.<br />
This distributi<strong>on</strong> of risk and vulnerability is an important<br />
and growing comp<strong>on</strong>ent of daily urban life. It is often<br />
linked to the presence of milli<strong>on</strong>s of urban residents in<br />
slums, which are envir<strong>on</strong>ments in which much crime and<br />
violence occur, where tenure is least secure, and which are<br />
pr<strong>on</strong>e to disasters of many kinds. The safety of men, women<br />
and children is at risk every day from crime and traffic<br />
accidents, violent crime, threats to security of tenure, and<br />
natural and human-made hazards. As discussed in Chapter 7,<br />
this spatial dimensi<strong>on</strong> is reflected in the term ‘geography of<br />
disaster risk’ for which there is extensive data showing what<br />
kinds of disasters are occurring in cities in specific regi<strong>on</strong>s of<br />
the world, as presented in Chapter 7.<br />
A particularly noteworthy type of challenge to urban<br />
safety is the widespread and growing incidence of traffic<br />
accidents and related deaths. An estimated 1.2 milli<strong>on</strong><br />
people are killed in road traffic accidents each year, and up<br />
to 50 milli<strong>on</strong> are injured, occupying between 30 and 70 per<br />
cent of orthopaedic hospital beds in developing countries. 11<br />
One study of Latin America and the Caribbean c<strong>on</strong>cluded<br />
that at least 100,000 pers<strong>on</strong>s are killed in traffic accidents<br />
and 1.2 milli<strong>on</strong> are injured each year in that regi<strong>on</strong>, with<br />
costs measured in lost productivity, hospital bills and other<br />
factors estimated at US$30 billi<strong>on</strong>. 12<br />
Later chapters will present and explain the central<br />
significance of slums in this nexus of daily urban risk and<br />
vulnerability; but recognizing how the characteristics of<br />
slums directly c<strong>on</strong>tribute to this nexus is needed to set the<br />
c<strong>on</strong>text for this report. Slums are at <strong>on</strong>ce the locus of the<br />
greatest deprivati<strong>on</strong> in material welfare in societies, the<br />
weakest human capital in terms of investment in health and<br />
educati<strong>on</strong>, and also lack the instituti<strong>on</strong>al and legal framework<br />
to guarantee their safety and security. These forms of<br />
deprivati<strong>on</strong> are cumulative and interact with <strong>on</strong>e another.<br />
The poorest in most urban areas live in slums lacking both<br />
the safeguards for protecti<strong>on</strong> from private acti<strong>on</strong>s and unjust<br />
public policies. Insecurity of tenure – which affects large<br />
numbers of poor slum dwellers – itself weakens the possibility<br />
of establishing communities, community instituti<strong>on</strong>s and<br />
cultural norms to govern and regulate behaviour. The slums<br />
represent <strong>on</strong>e part of what has been termed ‘the geography<br />
of misery’. 13<br />
One important dimensi<strong>on</strong> of this c<strong>on</strong>text is the fact<br />
that human life in cities is itself precarious in the absence of<br />
basic services such as housing, water supply and sanitati<strong>on</strong>,<br />
as well as food. Comm<strong>on</strong> waterborne diseases such as<br />
cholera or vector-borne diseases such as malaria can quickly<br />
reach epidemic proporti<strong>on</strong>s in dense underserved urban<br />
areas and in the absence of medical prophylaxis. The probabilities<br />
of death from health threats such as these c<strong>on</strong>stitute<br />
the greatest challenges to the security of individuals,<br />
especially in urban slums. These health threats to urban<br />
safety and security are not discussed in this report; but, as<br />
menti<strong>on</strong>ed earlier, they are part of the chr<strong>on</strong>ic vulnerabilities<br />
that c<strong>on</strong>stitute an important dimensi<strong>on</strong> of urban poverty.<br />
Lack of basic services, however, is not simply a microlevel<br />
issue affecting individuals, households and<br />
communities. It also extends to cities and nati<strong>on</strong>s as a whole<br />
and represents significant macro-ec<strong>on</strong>omic costs in many<br />
societies. This <str<strong>on</strong>g>Global</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Report</str<strong>on</strong>g> will present data dem<strong>on</strong>strating<br />
that urban insecurity is a major obstacle to macro-ec<strong>on</strong>omic<br />
growth in some countries and deserves policy attenti<strong>on</strong> at<br />
the highest levels of government. As shown in Chapter 7,<br />
the importance of urban insecurity has already been recognised<br />
by the global insurance industry by assigning specific<br />
cities around the world to risk categories. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Global</str<strong>on</strong>g> statistical<br />
evidence shows str<strong>on</strong>g correlati<strong>on</strong>s between level of development<br />
and the degree of urban security, as measured by the<br />
incidence of disaster and crime and violence. 14 GDP growth<br />
rates, for example, correlate negatively with homicide rates,<br />
although this is often offset by income inequality. But, as<br />
shown in Chapter 3, this correlati<strong>on</strong> is reversed for property<br />
crime, dem<strong>on</strong>strating other causal mechanisms.<br />
An additi<strong>on</strong>al urban dimensi<strong>on</strong> of this c<strong>on</strong>text is how<br />
the scale and density of cities affects urban safety and<br />
security. Subsequent chapters will present some aspects of<br />
this dimensi<strong>on</strong>, especially with respect to the incidence of<br />
crime and violence, as well as the impacts of natural and<br />
technological hazards, which tend to be higher in larger and<br />
denser urban areas. There are important caveats to this<br />
c<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>, including, for example, that very high density<br />
areas may have lower crime rates, such as New York, while<br />
there may also be an increased vulnerability in low density<br />
regi<strong>on</strong>s, such as isolated areas lacking social and instituti<strong>on</strong>al<br />
mechanisms for protecti<strong>on</strong>. As indicated in Chapter 3, the<br />
roles of culture and governance are but two of the factors<br />
that mediate these relati<strong>on</strong>ships and make clear correlati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
difficult to establish.<br />
While these caveats apply to the risks of crime and<br />
violence, they do not necessarily apply to disasters where the<br />
c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong> of more people also c<strong>on</strong>centrates and magnifies<br />
risk and the likelihood of death, injury and property<br />
damage. The case of rapid growth in Dhaka, Bangladesh,<br />
illustrates this process of increasing risk in large cities (see<br />
Chapter 7). One large risk insurance company has identified<br />
the 15 largest cities at high risk due to natural hazards,<br />
including earthquakes, tropical storms, tsunamis and<br />
volcanic erupti<strong>on</strong>s (also see Table 7.5 in Chapter 7). Smaller<br />
cities usually lack the instituti<strong>on</strong>al capacity to prepare for<br />
and manage risks. In physical terms, urbanizati<strong>on</strong> processes<br />
at all levels tend to change the risk and hazard profiles of<br />
cities. As stated earlier, this c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong> of risk is greatest<br />
for the urban poor living in slums. All of these issues should<br />
focus more attenti<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> urban governance, adding risk<br />
management and preventi<strong>on</strong> to the already c<strong>on</strong>siderable