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Global Report on Human Settlements 2007 - PoA-ISS

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Urban crime and violence: C<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s and trends<br />

53<br />

robbery, as well as property crime, indicated by burglary – a<br />

n<strong>on</strong>-violent but n<strong>on</strong>etheless serious crime. Furthermore,<br />

this chapter c<strong>on</strong>siders a variety of public order offences,<br />

such as corrupti<strong>on</strong>, organized crime and trafficking offences,<br />

including drugs, arms and human trafficking.<br />

10,000<br />

8000<br />

North<br />

America<br />

THE INCIDENCE AND<br />

VARIABILITY OF CRIME AND<br />

VIOLENCE<br />

Crimes and violence are unevenly distributed across the<br />

globe and within nati<strong>on</strong>s and cities. Nevertheless, they are<br />

pernicious, c<strong>on</strong>tinuing threats to human security, generally,<br />

and especially for the poor, who are disproporti<strong>on</strong>ately<br />

victimized as individuals and whose communities are<br />

str<strong>on</strong>gly affected. While crime and violence must be c<strong>on</strong>sidered<br />

through the lens of unique local c<strong>on</strong>texts and<br />

circumstances, trends in crime and violence can also be seen<br />

at much broader levels. This secti<strong>on</strong> reviews some of the<br />

global, regi<strong>on</strong>al, nati<strong>on</strong>al and city data for serious c<strong>on</strong>tact,<br />

property and public order crimes.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Global</str<strong>on</strong>g> and regi<strong>on</strong>al crime c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s and<br />

trends<br />

Figure 3.1, based <strong>on</strong> United Nati<strong>on</strong>s surveys, shows that<br />

crime rates at both the global and regi<strong>on</strong>al levels have<br />

increased steadily over the period of 1980 to 2000, rising<br />

about 30 per cent from 2300 crimes per 100,000 to over<br />

3000 per 100,000 individuals. 21 But this is not the case for<br />

all regi<strong>on</strong>s. Some crime rates, such as those in North<br />

America, fell significantly over these two decades even<br />

though the general level of crime was higher there than for<br />

other regi<strong>on</strong>s, except for the European Uni<strong>on</strong> (EU) beginning<br />

in approximately 1999. Crime in Latin America and the<br />

Caribbean regi<strong>on</strong>s rose during this period, reflecting, in part,<br />

political transiti<strong>on</strong>s from autocracy to democracy and civil<br />

c<strong>on</strong>flict. Data for the EU disguises the fact that states have<br />

experienced variable crime rates, with increases in some<br />

Eastern European nati<strong>on</strong>s and decreases in some Western<br />

European nati<strong>on</strong>s. African data has been excluded since <strong>on</strong>ly<br />

a relatively few African states provided crime survey data for<br />

the indicated period.<br />

Comparatively high general crime levels in higherincome<br />

regi<strong>on</strong>s of North America and Europe are explained<br />

by the greater propensity of people to report crimes of all<br />

types to the police, whereas in middle- and lower-income<br />

nati<strong>on</strong>s, serious offences, such as violent c<strong>on</strong>tact offences,<br />

are more often reported than property crimes. Crime rates<br />

in middle-income nati<strong>on</strong>s are likely to increase as the spread<br />

of technology offers more opportunities for things to steal<br />

and as people have increased abilities to report crimes to the<br />

police. 22<br />

Although the levels of crime are higher in North<br />

America, this is also where the most significant declines are<br />

evident. Despite many competing explanati<strong>on</strong>s for the<br />

decrease, <strong>on</strong>e suggesti<strong>on</strong> attributes this to countermeasures<br />

that have been enacted, especially in the US. 23 N<strong>on</strong>etheless,<br />

6000<br />

4000<br />

2000<br />

0<br />

All countries<br />

of the world<br />

European<br />

Uni<strong>on</strong><br />

1980 1985 1990 1995<br />

2000<br />

much of the decline in crimes in North America is due to the<br />

decrease in property crimes, which c<strong>on</strong>stitute the vast bulk<br />

of crimes and are more likely to be reported in industrialized<br />

countries vis-à-vis developing <strong>on</strong>es.<br />

Nati<strong>on</strong>al crime c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s and trends<br />

Latin America<br />

and the Caribbean<br />

When various types of crimes for all income groups are<br />

aggregated cross-nati<strong>on</strong>ally, the sums are staggering. For<br />

example, there were almost 50 milli<strong>on</strong> property and violent<br />

crimes recorded by police in 34 industrialized and industrializing<br />

countries in 2001 al<strong>on</strong>e. 24 These nati<strong>on</strong>s account for<br />

less than <strong>on</strong>e fifth of the world’s populati<strong>on</strong> according to<br />

2006 estimates, 25 which makes the numbers even more<br />

compelling when it is c<strong>on</strong>sidered that many crimes are not<br />

reported. Moreover, crime statistics routinely undercount<br />

poor victims and those from marginalized communities,<br />

where crime is likely to be more pervasive. Large nati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

such as the US, Russia and the UK c<strong>on</strong>sistently account for a<br />

major share of crime incidents, although their rates have<br />

varied c<strong>on</strong>siderably within each country over the past<br />

decade. Moreover, crime rates differ significantly between<br />

countries and are not always explained by sheer populati<strong>on</strong><br />

size. For example, based <strong>on</strong> 2001 data, the US had about six<br />

times the crime rate of Cyprus (3658 crimes per 100,000<br />

versus 595 crimes per 100,000 individuals), but 383 times<br />

Counts and rates<br />

decreased<br />

10 (19%)<br />

Counts increased<br />

but rates decreased<br />

4 (8%)<br />

Counts and rates<br />

increased<br />

38 (73%)<br />

Figure 3.1<br />

Total recorded crime<br />

trends per 100,000<br />

individuals in selected<br />

regi<strong>on</strong>s of the world<br />

Source: Shaw et al, 2003, p42<br />

Crime statistics<br />

routinely<br />

undercount poor<br />

victims and those<br />

from marginalized<br />

communities, where<br />

crime is likely to be<br />

more pervasive<br />

Figure 3.2<br />

Police-recorded crimes<br />

and attempts for 52<br />

countries: Changes in<br />

counts and rates<br />

(2001–2002) 26<br />

Source: Adapted from<br />

UNODC, 2005a, Table 2.1

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