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Exploring the Unknown - NASA's History Office

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Chapter Three<br />

Space as an Investment<br />

in Economic Growth<br />

by Henry R. Hertzfeld<br />

Introduction<br />

The research and development investments that NASA has made have greatly affected<br />

<strong>the</strong> economy of <strong>the</strong> United States and <strong>the</strong> world. New industries have been created.<br />

New technologies have been advanced from <strong>the</strong> laboratory to <strong>the</strong> marketplace more<br />

quickly than if <strong>the</strong>re had been no space program. Not only have jobs and income been<br />

created, but new ways of viewing <strong>the</strong> world now exist and o<strong>the</strong>r innovations that can be<br />

traced to NASA requirements and investments have improved <strong>the</strong> quality of life.<br />

Describing <strong>the</strong>se advances is relatively easy. Measuring <strong>the</strong>m is difficult. This chapter<br />

describes various economic methods that have been applied to <strong>the</strong> problem of <strong>the</strong> measurement<br />

of NASA investments, as well as <strong>the</strong> results of <strong>the</strong>ir use. It shows that economists<br />

are not in agreement in finding a clear and best approach to measurement. It is also clear<br />

that no one measure is a comprehensive indicator of NASA impacts and benefits.<br />

This chapter also tracks two o<strong>the</strong>r issues. The first is <strong>the</strong> political and social need for<br />

NASA to measure its impact on <strong>the</strong> economy. From <strong>the</strong> beginning of <strong>the</strong> Apollo program<br />

until funding started to decrease in <strong>the</strong> late 1960s, NASA had no pressing need to justify<br />

its program from an economic perspective. Falling NASA budgets and very high national<br />

visibility greatly increased <strong>the</strong> need to explain to Congress and <strong>the</strong> public <strong>the</strong> usefulness<br />

of <strong>the</strong> space program. Also, with <strong>the</strong> growing budget deficit and social programs of <strong>the</strong><br />

1970s and 1980s, NASA had to compete for its share of <strong>the</strong> discretionary budget against<br />

many o<strong>the</strong>r national priorities. Finally, with <strong>the</strong> end of <strong>the</strong> Cold War in <strong>the</strong> late 1980s, <strong>the</strong><br />

space race with <strong>the</strong> Soviet Union was over, and <strong>the</strong> pressure to view NASA and space investments<br />

from <strong>the</strong> perspective of a rate of return to <strong>the</strong> nation from its investments became<br />

paramount.<br />

The second issue reflects an overall economic-related push within <strong>the</strong> United States<br />

to collect more and better data on research and development (R&D) and to expand <strong>the</strong><br />

available methodological tools in economics to analyze those data. It is no coincidence<br />

that this trend also parallels <strong>the</strong> overall growth of R&D performed in large laboratories<br />

and institutions across <strong>the</strong> United States following World War II, including <strong>the</strong> establishment<br />

of <strong>the</strong> National Science Foundation, NASA, and <strong>the</strong> Department of Energy (which<br />

included <strong>the</strong> Atomic Energy Commission), as well as <strong>the</strong> very steady and rapid growth of<br />

<strong>the</strong> National Institutes of Health. Prior to World War II, successful government programs<br />

in technology development and transfer were limited to <strong>the</strong> Agricultural Extension<br />

Service and NASA’s predecessor, <strong>the</strong> National Advisory Committee for Aeronautics. With<br />

<strong>the</strong> great expansion of R&D programs in government, <strong>the</strong>re was an emphasis on documenting<br />

and measuring results to develop public support, convince Congress to continue<br />

and expand funding, and better understand <strong>the</strong> role of R&D and technological innovation<br />

in society. By <strong>the</strong> early 1990s, as described below, <strong>the</strong> mandate to develop performance<br />

measures for R&D had changed from a voluntary and ad hoc effort to one that is<br />

now mandated by congressional legislation.<br />

385

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