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Exploring the Unknown - NASA's History Office

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386<br />

SPACE AS AN INVESTMENT IN ECONOMIC GROWTH<br />

NASA Activities<br />

The cumulative investment that <strong>the</strong> United States has made in civilian space activities<br />

through NASA alone has been more than $200 billion over a period of nearly 40 years. 1<br />

As with any federal expenditure, each year’s budget outlays pump money into <strong>the</strong> economy,<br />

directly create jobs, and stimulate additional employment and income throughout <strong>the</strong><br />

nation. Although <strong>the</strong> distribution among occupations and regions may differ for NASAtype<br />

expenditures, from <strong>the</strong> expenditures on new roads, housing, or welfare payments,<br />

<strong>the</strong> overall multiplier effects are similar. Also, if any of <strong>the</strong> programs are eliminated, <strong>the</strong>se<br />

employment and income effects are eliminated.<br />

What makes NASA and o<strong>the</strong>r R&D investments different is that <strong>the</strong>y also stimulate <strong>the</strong><br />

productive capacity of <strong>the</strong> economy through <strong>the</strong> development and introduction of new<br />

technology. New technology can make existing production methods more efficient, and it<br />

can also create new products and services that not only stimulate new markets, industries,<br />

and opportunities, but can also improve <strong>the</strong> way people do things and <strong>the</strong> overall quality<br />

of life. These benefits and impacts on <strong>the</strong> economy are not immediate—it may take years<br />

or decades for an idea to be transformed into a marketable product or service. Thus, <strong>the</strong><br />

benefits from R&D investments in space are more difficult to measure and more unpredictable<br />

than <strong>the</strong> short-term benefits that accrue from <strong>the</strong> immediate jobs and income created<br />

by direct federal spending.<br />

The measurement difficulties center around <strong>the</strong> unpredictable ways that technology<br />

is transferred and <strong>the</strong> problems inherent in tracing <strong>the</strong> progression of ideas and experiments<br />

into consumer products whose sales contribute to <strong>the</strong> gross domestic product. This<br />

process, even when <strong>the</strong> route to <strong>the</strong> marketplace is fast, may take years. For some fundamental<br />

research, <strong>the</strong> process may take decades. The process of technology transfer will<br />

include false leads, dead ends, and even products that are technical successes, but fail in<br />

<strong>the</strong> marketplace. However, it also may generate major commercial successes. In many<br />

cases, <strong>the</strong> R&D stage represents only a small fraction of <strong>the</strong> monetary investment necessary<br />

for bringing a product or service to <strong>the</strong> market. Also necessary for economic success are<br />

large-scale manufacturing technology, marketing efforts, advertising, product support, and<br />

so forth. Many government-developed technologies that are highly useful for <strong>the</strong>ir design<br />

objective in fulfilling a government mission need a large amount of additional R&D to<br />

make <strong>the</strong>m optimal for commercial markets. Tracing over time <strong>the</strong> many paths of technology<br />

development and transfer and placing a value on <strong>the</strong> returns to <strong>the</strong> NASA R&D<br />

component of <strong>the</strong>se innovations continue to be challenges to <strong>the</strong> economic community.<br />

Certain “big” technologies for which NASA has been responsible and those that have<br />

been greatly stimulated through <strong>the</strong> space agency’s programs have made <strong>the</strong>ir way into<br />

product and service markets with virtually no active government technology transfer program.<br />

Examples of <strong>the</strong>se technologies are communications satellites, <strong>the</strong> miniaturization<br />

of electronic components, large management computer software applications, and<br />

advanced composite materials. Historically, industry has performed about two-thirds of<br />

NASA R&D under contract arrangements. Therefore, when a technology is developed<br />

that is basically a better or more efficient way of serving a proven and existing market,<br />

industry is already actively involved, knowledgeable, and often willing to commit <strong>the</strong> necessary<br />

funds to modify <strong>the</strong> government product or service for <strong>the</strong> commercial market. Of<br />

course, as time elapses, new consumer demands may emerge and grow from <strong>the</strong> original<br />

space-related technology. The rapid growth of new satellite telecommunications products<br />

and services offers an excellent example.<br />

1. If this were translated to constant 1997 dollars, <strong>the</strong> investment would be more than $450 billion.

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