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Exploring the Unknown - NASA's History Office

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EXPLORING THE UNKNOWN 433<br />

The major findings of <strong>the</strong> study follow:<br />

1. NASA contributions to <strong>the</strong> advancement of major developments in <strong>the</strong> selected<br />

fields of technology appear to be broader, more complex and more indirect than has been<br />

realized to date. The number of NASA contributions that find direct nonaerospace applications<br />

represent only a small fraction of <strong>the</strong> large number of contributions that advance<br />

<strong>the</strong> state of technology in a field.<br />

2. Ten dominant types of NASA contributions to <strong>the</strong> advancement of major developments<br />

were identified. Individual contributions identified in this study embodied from<br />

one to all ten types. The types include: developing new knowledge; developing new technology;<br />

demonstrating <strong>the</strong> application of new technology for <strong>the</strong> first time; augmenting<br />

existing technology; applying existing technology in a new context; stimulating industry<br />

to acquire or develop new technology; identifying problem areas requiring fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />

research; and creating new markets. Certain types of NASA contributions appeared to be<br />

more dominant in some fields of technology than in o<strong>the</strong>rs.<br />

3. The “significance” of most of <strong>the</strong> NASA contributions was to have caused <strong>the</strong> technological<br />

advancement to occur at an earlier time than it would have occurred o<strong>the</strong>rwise.<br />

Significance of NASA contributions varied between fields of technology, with those fields<br />

most closely identified with NASA missions, such as cryogenics and telemetry, having <strong>the</strong><br />

largest proportion of contributions leading to advancements that probably would not<br />

have occurred without <strong>the</strong> NASA contribution.<br />

4. The NASA contributions represented all levels of technology, including major<br />

step-changes in technology, incremental advances in technology, and consolidations of<br />

technology. Contributions that represented incremental or systematic advances in technology<br />

were <strong>the</strong> most frequent type of contribution, followed by contributions that represented<br />

a consolidation of knowledge. Contributions that represented major<br />

step-changes were relatively infrequent. Wide differences in <strong>the</strong>se different classes of contribution<br />

to different fields of technology were found, depending upon <strong>the</strong> existing state<br />

of technology in <strong>the</strong> field and NASA’s mission requirements.<br />

[iv] 5. NASA contributions were found in all stages of developmental activity studied,<br />

with more than one-half finding military or aerospace applications and almost one-quarter<br />

finding commercial applications.<br />

6. When impact was assessed on a linear scale of high, moderate or low, <strong>the</strong> technological<br />

impact of <strong>the</strong> NASA contributions was estimated to be moderate-to-high, <strong>the</strong><br />

economic impact to be moderate, <strong>the</strong> scientific impact to be moderate-to-low, and <strong>the</strong><br />

direct social impact to be low, with impact varying widely between different fields. . . .<br />

[25] III. MEASURING THE IMPACT OF NASA CONTRIBUTIONS<br />

Measuring innovative activity is itself a formidable problem which has not been solved<br />

to anyone’s satisfaction. Moving from a measure of this activity to a measure of economic<br />

impact greatly increases <strong>the</strong> problem. Focusing <strong>the</strong> task on measurement of <strong>the</strong> economic<br />

impact of NASA’s technological efforts reduces few problems and adds many. One<br />

recent attempt to measure <strong>the</strong> overall economic impact of technological progress appears<br />

to have met with some success. 1<br />

1. Economic Impact of Stimulated Technological Activity. Part I: Overall Economic Impact of Technological<br />

Progress—Its Measurement. Kansas City, Missouri: Midwest Research Institute, Final Report 7, April 1970–15 April<br />

1971 (NASA Contract NASW-2030).

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