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Exploring the Unknown - NASA's History Office

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450<br />

Document III-10<br />

Document title: “Economic Effects of a Space Station: Preliminary Results,” NASA, June<br />

16, 1983, pp. 1–2, 20–21.<br />

Source: NASA Historical Reference Collection, NASA <strong>History</strong> <strong>Office</strong>, NASA<br />

Headquarters, Washington, D.C.<br />

This study, sponsored by <strong>the</strong> NASA Alumni League, reports on only <strong>the</strong> direct and indirect employment<br />

and income that were generated by NASA spending. It came as NASA was seeking White House<br />

approval to initiate a space station program. Although <strong>the</strong> impacts are presented by industry and<br />

state, <strong>the</strong> benefits only represent <strong>the</strong> multiplier effects of <strong>the</strong> spending patterns of NASA. These findings<br />

and similar studies were important in convincing legislators how important NASA’s budget had<br />

become to <strong>the</strong>ir regions. The following text is <strong>the</strong> introduction and conclusions from <strong>the</strong> first draft of<br />

<strong>the</strong> report.<br />

The Economic Effects of a Space Station:<br />

Preliminary Results<br />

[1] 1.0 INTRODUCTION<br />

SPACE AS AN INVESTMENT IN ECONOMIC GROWTH<br />

This report discusses <strong>the</strong> economic effects of a manned Space Station. Since <strong>the</strong><br />

major reasons for building a Space Station are not economic, this report will also discuss<br />

some of <strong>the</strong> non-economic benefits to be gained. Some of <strong>the</strong>se benefits include:<br />

• The Space Station will enhance <strong>the</strong> defense posture of <strong>the</strong> United States by<br />

demonstrating an ability to control <strong>the</strong> high ground of space.<br />

• The Space Station will build respect for <strong>the</strong> industrial strength of <strong>the</strong> nation by<br />

proving <strong>the</strong> ability to initiate and maintain large-scale, high technology programs.<br />

• The Space Station program will increase <strong>the</strong> nation’s pride and confidence just as<br />

<strong>the</strong> Shuttle and o<strong>the</strong>r space programs have done.<br />

Since few of <strong>the</strong>se benefits can be quantitatively assessed, it is not feasible at this time<br />

to justify a Space Station on economic grounds alone.<br />

To look at <strong>the</strong> Space Station program from an economic perspective, <strong>the</strong> program is<br />

divided into two major phases: a development phase and an operational phase. During<br />

<strong>the</strong> development phase, cash flows will consist primarily of government expenditures (to<br />

plan, design, construct, test, and deploy <strong>the</strong> Space Station hardware) and <strong>the</strong> resulting<br />

direct and multiplier effects of those expenditures on <strong>the</strong> economy. During <strong>the</strong> operational<br />

phase, <strong>the</strong> direct economic effects will diversify as a variety of government and private<br />

customers begin to use <strong>the</strong> Space Station.<br />

An important point that needs to be stated is <strong>the</strong> level at which a Space Station will<br />

influence <strong>the</strong> economy. During <strong>the</strong> development phase, <strong>the</strong> expenditures will be too small<br />

to notice at a macroeconomic level (e.g., about .25% of <strong>the</strong> Gross National Product).<br />

However, <strong>the</strong> development expenditures will have significant effects for specific industries<br />

and locations. The operational phase should have a major influence on <strong>the</strong> overall economy<br />

as [2] <strong>the</strong> technology spreads throughout all sectors. A Space Station could open <strong>the</strong><br />

door to <strong>the</strong> creation of a whole new industry based on space operations and may provide<br />

<strong>the</strong> stimulus for new and improved consumer products. The projected revenues for commercial<br />

space activities are highly uncertain due to <strong>the</strong> length of time (10–20 years) being<br />

addressed. The most likely near-term effect an operational Space Station will have is <strong>the</strong><br />

reduced cost of performing certain missions in space.

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