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Exploring the Unknown - NASA's History Office

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Impact of NASA Combinations<br />

High<br />

Moderate<br />

Low<br />

Class<br />

I<br />

Class<br />

II<br />

Technological<br />

EXPLORING THE UNKNOWN 443<br />

Class<br />

III<br />

Scientific<br />

Already Realized<br />

Potential<br />

Type of Impact of NASA Contributions<br />

Economic<br />

Figure 6. Impact of NASA Contributions on Major Developments in Twelve Fields of Technology for Different Classes of<br />

Technology<br />

From <strong>the</strong>se conclusions it becomes apparent that, in effect, NASA’s role in advancing<br />

technology has been to create a demand for <strong>the</strong> technology to fill. Fur<strong>the</strong>r, by creating this<br />

demand, NASA apparently aided industry, in several cases, in carrying out <strong>the</strong>ir own development<br />

efforts to fur<strong>the</strong>r advance <strong>the</strong> technology in a field, resulting in new products and<br />

processes.<br />

The impact of NASA contributions appears to be related to those factors which are<br />

inherent in <strong>the</strong> contribution as well as those factors which deal with <strong>the</strong> uses to which <strong>the</strong><br />

contributions are put. If <strong>the</strong> NASA contribution can be thought of as a stimulus and <strong>the</strong><br />

impact as a response, <strong>the</strong>re does not appear to be too great a time lag between <strong>the</strong> stimulus<br />

provided by NASA’s technological efforts which resulted in <strong>the</strong> contributions and <strong>the</strong><br />

response in <strong>the</strong> form of technological and scientific impact brought about by <strong>the</strong>se contributions.<br />

That is, most of <strong>the</strong> technological and scientific impact a contribution is going<br />

to have is felt within a reasonable time after <strong>the</strong> contribution occurs. For <strong>the</strong> identified<br />

contributions, 70 percent of <strong>the</strong> technological impact and 90 percent of <strong>the</strong> scientific<br />

impact has already been realized.<br />

On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand, <strong>the</strong> rate at which <strong>the</strong> economic impact of NASA’s contributions is<br />

felt, appears to be related to <strong>the</strong> rate at which <strong>the</strong> contributions find nonaerospace application.<br />

In many of <strong>the</strong> areas of NASA contributions, industry is ready to take immediate<br />

advantage of <strong>the</strong> technological and scientific stimulus provided, with a resulting economic<br />

impact. In many o<strong>the</strong>r areas, however, a gap apparently exists between <strong>the</strong> NASA stimulus<br />

and <strong>the</strong> ability of industry to respond. In <strong>the</strong>se cases, only a small proportion of <strong>the</strong><br />

potential economic impact inherent in <strong>the</strong> NASA contribution can occur.<br />

The net result is that with only one-quarter of <strong>the</strong> identified NASA contributions<br />

being applied commercially, <strong>the</strong> amount of economic impact felt to date is less than onethird<br />

of its potential total impact. With a greater rate of commercialization, <strong>the</strong> economic<br />

impact of NASA contributions could be expected to rise sharply.<br />

Class<br />

I<br />

Class<br />

II<br />

Class<br />

III<br />

Class<br />

I<br />

Class<br />

II<br />

Class<br />

III

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