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Exploring the Unknown - NASA's History Office

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Diff. From Baseline, Thousands<br />

Figure 1. Establishment Employment NASA Simulation vs. Baseline<br />

Diff. From Baseline, Billions $87<br />

0<br />

-50<br />

-100<br />

-150<br />

-200<br />

-250<br />

-300<br />

-350<br />

-400<br />

0<br />

-5<br />

-10<br />

-15<br />

-20<br />

-25<br />

EXPLORING THE UNKNOWN 453<br />

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000<br />

Figure 2. Real GDP: NASA Simulation I vs. Baseline<br />

Note: Calendar Year Basis<br />

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000<br />

Note: Calendar Year Basis<br />

• If <strong>the</strong> NASA budget were eliminated, <strong>the</strong>re is a loss of economic output, lower employment,<br />

and decreased corporate profits which reduce federal tax receipts. Payments<br />

for unemployment insurance and o<strong>the</strong>r related transfer payments rise, increasing government<br />

expenditures on <strong>the</strong>se programs. The combination of lower tax receipts and<br />

higher transfer payments offsets much of <strong>the</strong> impact of <strong>the</strong> elimination of <strong>the</strong> NASA<br />

budget on <strong>the</strong> federal surplus. By 1997, <strong>the</strong> federal budget improves by only $1.60 billion<br />

relative to what it would be if NASA spending of $16.14 billion were not cut.<br />

Summary Figure 3 highlights <strong>the</strong> extent of <strong>the</strong> improvement in <strong>the</strong> federal budget if<br />

<strong>the</strong> NASA budget were eliminated beginning in fiscal year 1995.

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