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Exploring the Unknown - NASA's History Office

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508<br />

Figure 13. Return on investment<br />

Plant first unit cost was determined to be a major cost driver and its effect on <strong>the</strong><br />

return on investment for a ten plant operation is shown in Figure 15. This first unit cost<br />

effect is in contrast to DDT&E cost, which has a lesser effect because it is spread over <strong>the</strong><br />

total number of plants. The sensitivity of return on investment to plant first unit cost illustrates<br />

<strong>the</strong> importance of designing a silicon ribbon processor and plant for efficient serial<br />

production.<br />

[10]<br />

Return on Investment*—%<br />

Figure 14. Cumulative cash flow<br />

SPACE AS AN INVESTMENT IN ECONOMIC GROWTH<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

Cumulative Cash Flow—$M<br />

29.5%<br />

* After Taxes<br />

Selected Baseline<br />

(10% of 1985 LSI Market)<br />

0<br />

0 5 10<br />

Number of Plants<br />

15 20<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

-200<br />

-400<br />

Selected Baseline<br />

(10% of 1985 LSI Market)<br />

Plant Launch<br />

DDT&E Production<br />

Number of Plants 20<br />

0 2 4 6 8 10<br />

Years<br />

10<br />

5<br />

1

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