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Commission on the Reform of Ontario's Public Services

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CHART 20.3 Ontario’s Fiscal Gap 1<br />

$ Billi<strong>on</strong>s<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

(10)<br />

(20)<br />

(30)<br />

1999–2000 2000–01 2001–02 2002–03 2003–04 2004–05 2005–06 2006–07 2007–08 2008–09<br />

Ontario’s Fiscal Gap with <strong>the</strong> Federal Government [A]<br />

Ontario’s Fiscal Gap, Equal Per Capita [B]<br />

Ontario’s over/(under) c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> versus an equal per capita share [A–B]<br />

Chapter 20: Intergovernmental Relati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

2009–10<br />

1 Comparing Ontario’s fiscal gap with <strong>the</strong> federal government against Ontario’s share <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> federal fiscal gap <strong>on</strong> an equal per capita basis.<br />

Note: Federal revenue and program spending have been adjusted to include <strong>the</strong> Quebec Abatement. Excise taxes have been adjusted to be<br />

distributed <strong>on</strong> a per capita basis.<br />

Sources: Nati<strong>on</strong>al Accounts and Ontario Ec<strong>on</strong>omic Accounts.<br />

Federal-Provincial Transfers<br />

The three major federal transfer programs — Canada Health Transfer (CHT), Canada Social<br />

Transfer (CST) and Equalizati<strong>on</strong> — all have roots in byg<strong>on</strong>e eras. Equalizati<strong>on</strong>, traceable<br />

back to <strong>the</strong> Federal-Provincial Tax Sharing Arrangements Act <strong>of</strong> 1957, was entrenched as a<br />

principle in <strong>the</strong> Canadian C<strong>on</strong>stituti<strong>on</strong> when it was patriated in 1982, while CHT and CST have<br />

direct lineages to Established Programs Financing and Canada Assistance Plan, which began<br />

in 1977 and 1962 respectively.<br />

Unlike today, <strong>the</strong> world ec<strong>on</strong>omy in those times was less globally competitive. In part because<br />

<strong>of</strong> significantly higher tariffs, trade am<strong>on</strong>g provinces was more important <strong>the</strong>n than it is now.<br />

Accordingly, federal wealth redistributi<strong>on</strong> tended to flow back through Ontario, justifying wealth<br />

distributi<strong>on</strong> am<strong>on</strong>g provinces. With <strong>the</strong> breaking down <strong>of</strong> world trade barriers through <strong>the</strong> latter<br />

part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 20th century, all provinces including Ontario now battle for business with a much<br />

larger suite <strong>of</strong> competitors. Ontario’s trade flows are now c<strong>on</strong>siderably more internati<strong>on</strong>al,<br />

so <strong>the</strong> effects <strong>of</strong> redistributi<strong>on</strong> increasingly leave Ontario shorthanded in <strong>the</strong> competitive<br />

global ec<strong>on</strong>omy.<br />

453

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