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Milk-and-Dairy-Products-in-Human-Nutrition-FAO

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Chapter 2 – <strong>Milk</strong> availability: Current production <strong>and</strong> dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> medium-term outlook 21<br />

figure 2.9<br />

Per capita <strong>in</strong>come <strong>and</strong> dietary energy <strong>in</strong>take from dairy, various countries, 2007<br />

1 000<br />

Energy <strong>in</strong>take from dairy (kcal/person/day)<br />

900<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

0 10 000 20 000 30 000 40 000 50 000 60 000<br />

Per capita GDP (PPP adjusted)<br />

Note: GDP per capita is measured at purchas<strong>in</strong>g power parity (PPP) <strong>in</strong> constant 2005 <strong>in</strong>ternational US$.<br />

Source: <strong>FAO</strong>STAT, 2011 for per capita dairy consumption <strong>and</strong> the World Bank for per capita GDP.<br />

amounts of precooked, fast <strong>and</strong> convenience foods (Rae, 1998; K<strong>in</strong>g, Tityen <strong>and</strong><br />

Vickner, 2000; Schmidhuber <strong>and</strong> Shetty, 2005). Rae (1998) found that urbanization<br />

significantly <strong>in</strong>creased dem<strong>and</strong> for animal products <strong>in</strong> a sample of East Asian<br />

economies, <strong>in</strong>dependently of <strong>in</strong>come levels.<br />

While purchas<strong>in</strong>g power <strong>and</strong> urbanization expla<strong>in</strong> much of the change <strong>in</strong> per<br />

capita consumption, other factors – <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g social <strong>and</strong> cultural ones – can have<br />

a large <strong>in</strong>fluence locally. For example, Brazil <strong>and</strong> Thail<strong>and</strong> have similar <strong>in</strong>come per<br />

capita <strong>and</strong> urbanization rates but per capita animal product consumption is roughly<br />

twice as high <strong>in</strong> Brazil as <strong>in</strong> Thail<strong>and</strong>. Japan consumes significantly less livestock<br />

products per capita than other countries at comparable <strong>in</strong>come levels. In South Asia<br />

per capita consumption of meat is lower than <strong>in</strong>come alone would expla<strong>in</strong>, largely<br />

for religious <strong>and</strong> cultural reasons (Rae <strong>and</strong> Nayga, 2010).<br />

Natural resource endowment also <strong>in</strong>directly affects consumption, as it <strong>in</strong>fluences<br />

the relative costs <strong>and</strong> prices of food commodities. Access to mar<strong>in</strong>e resources, on<br />

the one h<strong>and</strong>, <strong>and</strong> to natural resources for livestock production, on the other, <strong>in</strong>fluence<br />

consumption trends <strong>in</strong> opposite directions. What may be perceived as lactose<br />

<strong>in</strong>tolerance limits milk consumption <strong>in</strong> Asia <strong>in</strong> particular (Dong, 2006). 4<br />

4 See Chapter 4 for a further discussion.

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