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Educing Information: Interrogation - National Intelligence University

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The Pareto Curve. Source: Roger Fisher and Bruce Patton, “The Pareto Frontier,”<br />

in Workbook for the Program of Instruction for Lawyers at Harvard Law School<br />

(Cambridge, MA: Harvard Negotiation Project, 2006), 36.<br />

Despite these insights of economists and game theoreticians, negotiators<br />

might persist and ask (with good reason): Why care about the other’s interests<br />

There are several reasons:<br />

1. A focus on mutual gains increases the incentive to cooperate (Fisher and<br />

Shapiro, 2005). Parties will be less likely to cooperate if they do not see<br />

it as being in their interest to cooperate: why help the enemy<br />

2. Mutual gains increase the likelihood that future interactions will be<br />

constructive (Axelrod, 1984). Parties will be less likely to cooperate in<br />

the future if they have memories of feeling deceived or mistreated by the<br />

other party.<br />

3. An adversarial stance makes stalemate more likely. If parties assume that<br />

the conflict is a win-lose situation, each is likely to stick to a position.<br />

As egos and negative emotions become increasingly involved, stalemate<br />

becomes a likely and stable outcome (Rubin, Pruitt, and Kim, 1994).<br />

4. “Mutual gains” does not mean giving in to the demands of the other side.<br />

Pareto-optimal outcomes do not focus on each party’s stated position,<br />

such as whether or not to give information, but on underlying interests,<br />

such as why the source does not want to give information.<br />

270

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