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Educing Information: Interrogation - National Intelligence University

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negotiation. Standards of legitimacy are external, objective criteria — independent<br />

of one’s will or that of the other party — that can be used to persuade others that<br />

one option is more fair than another. Standards might be drawn from common<br />

practice, precedent, or the like. Rather than state “you must concede to our<br />

demands,” a negotiator would offer standards of legitimacy — persuasive to each<br />

negotiator — for choosing one option over another. In the context of EI, standards<br />

of legitimacy might be drawn from religious, cultural, social, or related sources.<br />

Using Gamesmanship<br />

The point of gamesmanship is to “ruffle the feathers” of decisionmakers,<br />

throwing them off guard and making them increasingly willing to yield (Rubin,<br />

Pruitt, and Kim, 1994). Two such tactics include (1) changing or confusing<br />

the tempo of the discussion and (2) fostering a decisionmaker’s feelings of<br />

incompetence, fluster, or personal doubt. In a classic book on gamesmanship,<br />

Potter writes about a tennis player who, after being served two or three aces<br />

running, ties his shoelace in a prolonged manner, blows his nose for an extended<br />

period, and wipes all signs of sweat off his forehead (Potter, 1948). This same<br />

tactic can, of course, be used in complicated negotiations.<br />

The key to gamesmanship is to keep the decisionmaker blind to one’s true<br />

intentions (Potter, 1948). The moment the manipulation becomes transparent,<br />

it becomes much less tactically promising. Thus, Potter wisely advises the<br />

gamesperson to “shield” his or her behavior behind a clear situational rationale. In<br />

the tennis example, the goal would be for the opponent to believe that the change<br />

in his or her fortune was due not to the change in the game’s tempo, but to the<br />

player’s change of racket or a variation in the wind.<br />

Making Threats<br />

Threats are messages about what we intend to do if the other person does not<br />

comply with our demand. The general structure of a threat is: “Unless you do X,<br />

I will hurt you.”<br />

Threats are appealing for several reasons (Rubin, Pruitt, and Kim, 1994). First,<br />

they impose no cost on the party making the threat. Indeed, as Thomas Schelling<br />

pointed out, where brute force may cause resistance in others, the threat of such<br />

force may succeed (1966). Second, threats have been experimentally shown to<br />

work — often better than promises. Experimental evidence suggests that threats<br />

are a credible form of influence (e.g., see Pruitt and Carnevale, 1993; Rubin and<br />

Brown, 1975). Third, a threat can be withdrawn without incurring cost. A person<br />

who withdraws a promise may be looked upon as untrustworthy, but a person who<br />

withdraws a threat can be seen as humane. (In either case, however, judgments<br />

still may be made about the person’s credibility.)<br />

At the same time, threats carry one great risk: the counterthreat. A threat tends<br />

to elicit reciprocal action in the other person. As early as 1960, experimental<br />

research showed that threats lead to increased suspicion, resentment, and dislike,<br />

in turn making counterthreats more likely (Deutsch and Krauss, 1960).<br />

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