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Educing Information: Interrogation - National Intelligence University

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face or, better yet, improve their standing with their constituency, can increase the<br />

likelihood that it will be accepted.<br />

Target Future Choice Chart (TFC)<br />

A related tool, the Target Future Choice (TFC) chart, can help to identify how<br />

the other side might perceive a proposal in order to accept it. To derive such a<br />

target future choice, the negotiator must work backwards, initially defining the<br />

consequences believed to be necessary for the decision maker to say yes rather<br />

than no (Fisher, Kopelman, and Schneider, 1994). The table below illustrates the<br />

basic elements of a persuasive target future choice.<br />

General Example<br />

“Shall I now accept the X plan”<br />

Consequences if I say YES Consequences if I say NO<br />

+ My personal standing is secure – I will be subjected to some criticism<br />

+ I can easily justify the decision to my – The problem will not go away<br />

constituents<br />

+ I will not be seen as backing down – It is likely to get worse<br />

+ The action is reasonably consistent – I will miss a fading opportunity<br />

with our principles and<br />

past statements<br />

+ It will not set a bad precedent<br />

+ All things considered, it is a<br />

constructive step for dealing<br />

with this problem<br />

+ We still keep many of our future<br />

options open<br />

BUT<br />

– Some hardliners will criticize me<br />

BUT<br />

+ Some hardliners will no doubt<br />

support me<br />

Future Target Choice of a Decision Maker. Source: Roger Fisher and others,<br />

Beyond Machiavelli: Tools for Coping with Conflict (Boston: Harvard <strong>University</strong><br />

Press, 1994), 58. Reprinted by permission of the publisher.<br />

A well-framed offer allows the decision maker to understand both the benefits<br />

of accepting the proposal immediately and the costs of inaction (for instance, as<br />

a result of missing a deadline by which the offer had to be accepted). An offer<br />

can be made more appealing if it is partially implemented from the outset. Car<br />

salespeople use this technique all the time when they offer a customer a car and<br />

hand him or her the keys to hold.<br />

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