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Tobacco and Public Health - TCSC Indonesia

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318<br />

ADOLESCENT SMOKING<br />

We use three age-specific indices to identify where a community or population is on<br />

this uptake continuum. The first is the proportion of the group who are committed<br />

never smokers. In the United States, the main movement out of the committed neversmoking<br />

group occurs between the ages of 10 <strong>and</strong> 14 years. The second marker is the<br />

proportion of adolescents who have experimented with smoking, even a few puffs. The<br />

modal age of experimentation in the United States is between 12 <strong>and</strong> 14 years. There is<br />

thought to be an important age window for completing experimentation during the<br />

teenage years that influences the probability of later daily smoking. The marker used to<br />

indicate completion of the experimentation phase is having smoked at least 100 cigarettes<br />

in one’s lifetime, which is the accepted definition of an adult smoker in the<br />

United States. It has been estimated that 50 per cent of adolescents who reach at least<br />

100 cigarettes will still be smoking at age 35 years (Pierce <strong>and</strong> Gilpin 1996).<br />

Interestingly, previously secret tobacco industry documents obtained through the US<br />

lawsuits have indicated that the tobacco industry felt that br<strong>and</strong> loyalty occurred generally<br />

after smoking as little as 200 cigarettes of the same br<strong>and</strong>. Despite this research<br />

<strong>and</strong> concerns relating to recall bias, the traditional measure of adolescent smoking is a<br />

period prevalence measure, the proportion who have smoked in the previous 30 days.<br />

How strong is genetics in determining who will become a<br />

smoker?<br />

In 1958, the famous statistician, Sir Ronald Fisher, argued that it was possible that<br />

people who were genetically at risk to develop cancer were the same people who<br />

were genetically at risk to start smoking (Fisher 1958). Given the overwhelming evidence<br />

supporting a causal association between smoking <strong>and</strong> lung cancer, this argument<br />

was not at all persuasive in the public policy debate of the time. However, it did<br />

raise the issue that there is probably a genetic component to smoking initiation. There<br />

has now been considerable research on identical twins, some who have been raised<br />

apart. These studies allow the separation of the social environmental influences from<br />

genetic influences, <strong>and</strong> have generally found that there is an important genetic influence<br />

on who becomes a smoker. However, the genetic influence is not related to the development<br />

of a susceptibility to smoking. Instead, people respond differently to exposure<br />

to nicotine, with some appearing to be genetically predisposed to become dependent.<br />

In a series of different studies, it appears that a relatively constant 30–50 per cent of<br />

experimenters go on to become addicted smokers. As there is a lot of research in this<br />

area at the present time, we can expect the knowledge base in this area to exp<strong>and</strong><br />

rapidly in the next decade.<br />

How do friends who smoke effect initiation?<br />

One of the most consistent findings in research on adolescent smoking is that nonsmokers<br />

who have friends who smoke soon become smokers themselves (USDHHS 1994).

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