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Management of Commercially Generated Radioactive Waste - U.S. ...

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STABLE E.1.1. Comparison <strong>of</strong> Various Estimates <strong>of</strong> Cancer Deaths per Million Man-Rem<br />

BEIR Report (NAS-NRC 1972)<br />

Absolute Relative<br />

Risk Model Risk Model Environmental Reactor Safety Study (NRC 1975)<br />

30-Year Life 30-Year Life Protection Upper Central Lower UNSCEAR<br />

Type <strong>of</strong> Cancer Plateau Plateau Plateau Plateau Agency Bound Estimate(b) Bound(b) Report( 2 ) ICRP-26( 1 0)<br />

Leukemia - 2 6 -(a) - 3 7 -(a) 54 (1973a) 28 5.6 0 15-25 20<br />

Non-leukemic 60 74 122 417 106 42 0<br />

Lung 16 19 60 (1973b) 22 4.4 0 25-50 20<br />

Bone 2.4 3.0 16 (1973a) 7 1.4 0 2-5 5<br />

Thyroid 13 2.6 0 5-15 5<br />

Total 86 100 159 454 200 (1973b) 134 48 0 100 100<br />

(a) 10-year risk plateau following in utero exposure, otherwise 25 years.<br />

(b) Calculated on the assumption that no individual dose will exceed 10 rem.<br />

NOTE: The term "health effects" is sometimes used to include sublethal cancers and less serious genetic defects. However, the<br />

estimates made in this statement are for cancer deaths and serious genetic effects.

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