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Management of Commercially Generated Radioactive Waste - U.S. ...

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5.62<br />

TABLE 5.4.16 Estimated Manpower Requirements for Construction and<br />

Operation <strong>of</strong> a Single <strong>Waste</strong> Repository, by Disposal<br />

Average Annual Employment (3-yr. peak)<br />

Spent Fuel Repository Reprocessing <strong>Waste</strong> Repository<br />

Medium Construction Operation Construction Operation<br />

Salt 1700 870 2000 1300<br />

Granite 4200 1100 3000 1300<br />

Shale 2200 880 2100 1200<br />

Basalt 5000 1100 3800 1500<br />

TABLE 5.4.17. Forecasts <strong>of</strong> Expected Population Influx for a Geologic Repository in Salt<br />

(51,000 MTHM <strong>Waste</strong> Capacity): Number <strong>of</strong> Persons and Percent <strong>of</strong> Base<br />

Population(a)<br />

Site 1980 1985 2000 2005<br />

Spent Fuel Repository Southeast 330 (1.9%) 540 (3.0%) 660 (3.3%) 700 (3.4%)<br />

Midwest 130 (0.2%) 570 (0.8%) 710 (0.9%) 740 (0.9%)<br />

Southwest 5,200 (10.8%) 4,200 (8.5%) 5,000 (9.2%) 5,100 (9.1%)<br />

Reprocessing <strong>Waste</strong> Southeast 410 (2.3%) 760 (4.1%) 930 (4.6%) 980 (4.7%)<br />

Repository Midwest 200 (0.4%) 860 (1.3%) 1,100 (1.3%) 1,100 (1.3%)<br />

Southwest 6,200 (12.4%) 5,700 (11.3%) 6,800 (12.1%) 6,900 (12.0%)<br />

(a) The dates shown are for one possible scenario and do not attempt to reflect actual schedules.<br />

The effects <strong>of</strong> population influx are expected to be substantially the same<br />

regardless <strong>of</strong> actual startup date.<br />

and basalt and are presented in DOE/ET-0029. The forecasted values include primary and<br />

secondary workers and associated household dependents, all <strong>of</strong> whom are in-migrants. Some<br />

<strong>of</strong> the persons who separate from the facility will stay in the site county and some will<br />

leave. Those who will stay are included in the forecasted values. Thus, not all forecasted<br />

populations are actually working on or directly associated with the project at each time<br />

period. Nevertheless, the presence <strong>of</strong> each <strong>of</strong> these persons would be caused by the exis-<br />

tence <strong>of</strong> the project; they would probably not be present if the project did not occur. The<br />

percentages associated with each population in these tables reflect the size <strong>of</strong> the in-<br />

migrant group relative to the baseline population in the respective sites. Since these<br />

baseline populations vary by site, the relative impact <strong>of</strong> a similar in-migrant group can<br />

vary greatly.<br />

Manpower requirements for construction <strong>of</strong> disposal facilities are lowest for a reposi-<br />

tory in salt and highest for a repository in basalt. For a spent fuel repository in salt,<br />

the total numbers <strong>of</strong> forecasted new in-migrants in the Southeast and Midwest sites under<br />

expected impact conditions are under 3% <strong>of</strong> the site county populations in the construction<br />

(1980-1984) and operation (1985-2005) phases. In-migration at this level is not likely to<br />

produce significant impacts. The effect <strong>of</strong> a repository in salt at the Southwest site is<br />

substantially different. The number <strong>of</strong> in-migrants during construction is over three times<br />

the level <strong>of</strong> primary employment demand (4200 versus 1700). Project related in-migration<br />

that exceeds 10% <strong>of</strong> the corresponding baseline population is considered to produce signifi-<br />

cant impacts. In-migration to the Southwest site exceeds this level in most cases. For a<br />

repository in granite, expected impacts at the Southeast and Midwest sites are judged to be

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