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Management of Commercially Generated Radioactive Waste - U.S. ...

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Economic Comments<br />

1. The Effects <strong>of</strong> Costs Are Not Considered.<br />

A major fault in the DEIS is that the potential economic impact<br />

resulting from the cost <strong>of</strong> commercial waste management is not<br />

addressed. Since payment <strong>of</strong> these costs will be made by the consumers<br />

<strong>of</strong> nuclear-generated electricity, it is necessary to determine what the<br />

impact will be on electricity customers. The DEIS estimates the cost<br />

<strong>of</strong> waste management but does not evaluate the economic consequences <strong>of</strong> dates. The objection arises when the inference is made that the effect<br />

incurring such costs. Analysis <strong>of</strong> both the microeconomic and <strong>of</strong> the deferral is simply the differences in the estimated parameters<br />

macroeconomic impacts should be performed. Within the micro framework, for each situation. The differences in these two cases should not be<br />

the direct impacts on customers' electric rates and fuel bills should interpreted as representing the impact <strong>of</strong> deferring the repository<br />

be investigated. Macroeconomic considerations should include the startup date, since deferral necessitates a different (lower) level <strong>of</strong><br />

degree <strong>of</strong> secondary impacts stemming from a rate increase to commercial nuclear activity with its accompanying level <strong>of</strong> environmental and<br />

and industrial electric users which can influence the cost <strong>of</strong> producing economic values. Thus, the true impact <strong>of</strong> deferral must be estimated<br />

other goods and services in the economy. The economic impacts <strong>of</strong> the by varying the nuclear power forecast from the base case (1985 startup<br />

cost <strong>of</strong> waste management also need to be discussed on a regional basis date).<br />

since they depend on each area's relative reliance on nuclear-generated<br />

electricity. The potential for these costs to influence the selection The DEIS misleads the reader since the impact <strong>of</strong> deferral is<br />

<strong>of</strong> power plant type should also be addressed. In light <strong>of</strong> the presumed to be estimated from Table 3.1.84 which summarizes the<br />

relatively detailed analysis <strong>of</strong> the localized socioeconomic impacts environmental effects for alternative repository startup dates <strong>of</strong> 1985<br />

associated with the siting <strong>of</strong> waste management facilities which was and 2000 (see page 4.42, second paragraph). On page 4.45, second<br />

presented in the DEIS, the lack <strong>of</strong> an economic impact analysis <strong>of</strong> the paragraph, it is stated that the variations in health and safety<br />

cost <strong>of</strong> waste management is a serious omission in the report. effects as well as cost impacts by different strategies, which include<br />

deferral <strong>of</strong> repository startup date, are small. Despite the caveat.<br />

2. Impacts on Nuclear Power Growth Are Not Addressed. stated in the foreword about neutrality regarding nuclear growth, by<br />

utilizing this neutrality in the estimation <strong>of</strong> the environmental<br />

Another fault <strong>of</strong> the DEIS is the stated intent to exhibit effects the DEIS has incorrectly estimated the impact <strong>of</strong> deferral. A<br />

neutrality regarding nuclear growth in connection with analysis <strong>of</strong> the proper estimation procedure must address the fact that the forecast <strong>of</strong><br />

effect <strong>of</strong> deferring the repository startup date to the year 2000. By nuclear power growth is dependent (among other things) on the<br />

assuming that there is no relationship between deferral <strong>of</strong> the repository startup date.<br />

repository startup and nuclear power growth, the analysis generates<br />

misleading results about the impacts <strong>of</strong> the deferral. By recognizing<br />

the existence <strong>of</strong> administrative and legislative obstacles to nuclear<br />

expansion, which are tied to the absence <strong>of</strong> a demonstrated waste<br />

management plan (e.g., the California moratorium), one must conclude<br />

that the deferral <strong>of</strong> a repository startup date for 15 years should<br />

result in a lower forecast <strong>of</strong> nuclear activity. As the DEIS indicates,<br />

different levels <strong>of</strong> nuclear activity produce different degrees <strong>of</strong><br />

environmental and economic impacts. There is no objection, per se, to<br />

determining the respective impacts <strong>of</strong> two different situations which<br />

use the same nuclear power forecast but different repository startup

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