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Management of Commercially Generated Radioactive Waste - U.S. ...

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3.19<br />

quencies, source terms can be grouped by release severity for environmental consequence<br />

analyses. Releases were classified based on similar release pathways, chemical form, acci-<br />

dent severity category, and isotope types released (fission products, activation products,<br />

and actinides). The largest release from any <strong>of</strong> the accidents in a similar release group<br />

was selected as the umbrella source term for that group. A summary description <strong>of</strong> impacts<br />

from the umbrella source terms for each waste management step is presented in Sections 4.8<br />

and 5.4.<br />

Releases <strong>of</strong> radioactive material to the environment result from both accidents and nor-<br />

mal operational releases. Operational releases result from routine handling or processing<br />

<strong>of</strong> radioactive materials and are limited by the containment system design and performance.<br />

They are expected to occur at a relatively uniform rate over the life <strong>of</strong> the plant. Acci-<br />

dental releases occur intermittently because <strong>of</strong> operational error or because <strong>of</strong> system com-<br />

ponent or containment failures. Severity <strong>of</strong> releases is generally inversely proportional<br />

to their frequency. The small-release, moderate-frequency minor accidents were character-<br />

ized for impact analysis in two ways: 1) as short-term intermittent release to describe<br />

their accidental nature and 2) as integrated releases averaged over one year to describe<br />

their moderate frequencies <strong>of</strong> occurrence. Integrated annual releases caused by minor acci-<br />

dents were added to facility releases from normal operations in determining environmental<br />

impacts for normal operation. Because <strong>of</strong> their low frequency, releases from moderate and<br />

severe accidents are described as separate impacts and are not included in consequences <strong>of</strong><br />

routine operation.<br />

3.2.8 Cost Analysis Bases<br />

Estimates <strong>of</strong> capital and operating costs for waste management predisposal operations<br />

and disposal in geologic repositories were developed for this Statement. This section sum-<br />

marizes the assumptions and methodology used to derive these cost estimates, as well as the<br />

bases for estimating uncertainty ranges. A complete discussion <strong>of</strong> cost bases and assumptions<br />

is given in DOE/ET-0028, Vol. 1, Section 3.8.<br />

The cost estimates themselves are summarized in Sections 4.9 and 5.6 for predisposal<br />

and geologic-isolation operations, respectively. Additional cost information on other dis-<br />

posal alternatives where the data base is generally more limited, is presented in the indi-<br />

vidual discussions <strong>of</strong> these alternatives in Chapter 6. An analysis <strong>of</strong> the overall systems<br />

costs <strong>of</strong> waste management and their impact on the cost <strong>of</strong> electric power is given in<br />

Chapter 7. The costs presented in Chapter 7 represent a full cost recovery <strong>of</strong> all identi-<br />

fiable costs including R&D costs and government overheads.<br />

3.2.8.1 Bases for Capital, Operating and Decommissioning Cost Estimates<br />

A constant dollar method <strong>of</strong> analysis is employed in which all costs, both present and<br />

future, are expressed in terms <strong>of</strong> the buying power <strong>of</strong> the dollar in mid-1978.(a) This is<br />

(a) The costs from DOE/ET-0028 were originally derived in terms <strong>of</strong> 1976 dollars and have<br />

been escalated here to 1978 dollars by multiplying by 1.17. 1980 dollar costs can be<br />

approximated by multiplying by 1.20.

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